Points
41Points expected by the market
42.73Gap
−1.73Yield
−6.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −3.39 | −31.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 17 | 19 | −3.11 | −17.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 15 | +4.76 | +16.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 4 | −4.74 | −59.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 14 | −0.61 | +2.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 2 | +0.61 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.35 | +104.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 5 | −2.50 | −53.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 13 | +4.15 | +45.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dundee United · Away4 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.23 |
| M2 | Hearts · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +1.56 |
| M3 | Hibernian · Away24 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | +1.47 |
| M4 | St Mirren · Home31 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.52 | +0.94 |
| M5 | Ross County · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.52 |
| M6 | Aberdeen · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.70 |
| M7 | Kilmarnock · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.54 | −3.24 |
| M8 | Motherwell · Away19 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.93 | −1.30 |
| M9 | St Johnstone · Home26 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −3.16 |
| M10 | Celtic · Away30 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.31 | −3.47 |
| M11 | Kilmarnock · Home3 Nov 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.68 | −1.79 |
| M12 | Aberdeen · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.96 | −2.75 |
| M13 | Hibernian · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −1.05 |
| M14 | Kilmarnock · Away30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −1.10 |
| M15 | Motherwell · Home4 Dec 2024 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +0.25 |
| M16 | Hearts · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −0.55 |
| M17 | Rangers · Away21 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.20 | −0.76 |
| M18 | Ross County · Home26 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.84 | −2.59 |
| M19 | St Mirren · Away29 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.03 | −0.57 |
| M20 | Dundee United · Home2 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.76 |
| M21 | St Johnstone · Away5 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.69 | −0.07 |
| M22 | Rangers · Home9 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.53 | +0.46 |
| M23 | Celtic · Home14 Jan 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.65 | +1.11 |
| M24 | Hearts · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −1.17 | −0.06 |
| M25 | Celtic · Away5 Feb 2025 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.17 | −0.23 |
| M26 | Aberdeen · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.56 |
| M27 | Ross County · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −2.76 |
| M28 | Motherwell · Away26 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −3.98 |
| M29 | St Johnstone · Home1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.52 | −4.50 |
| M30 | Dundee United · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.05 | −2.45 |
| M31 | Rangers · Home29 Mar 2025 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.57 | −3.02 |
| M32 | St Mirren · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | −1.34 |
| M33 | Hibernian · Away13 Apr 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.68 | −2.01 |
| M34 | Hearts · Away26 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.31 | +0.29 |
| M35 | Motherwell · Home3 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.67 | −1.37 |
| M36 | Kilmarnock · Away10 May 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.98 | −2.35 |
| M37 | Ross County · Home14 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.73 | −3.08 |
| M38 | St Johnstone · Away18 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −1.73 |
| Total | 41 | −1.73 | |||