Points
52Points expected by the market
57.23Gap
−5.23Yield
−24.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 36 | +0.62 | +1.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 12 | −3.23 | −27.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 1 | −3.44 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.82 | +44.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 26 | −2.31 | −9.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.28 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +2.93 | +43.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 12 | −3.23 | −27.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 0 | −2.16 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rangers · Home3 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.11 | +0.11 |
| M2 | Dundee · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.40 |
| M3 | Motherwell · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | −2.92 |
| M4 | Dundee United · Home1 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.76 | −4.68 |
| M5 | Celtic · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.28 | −4.96 |
| M6 | St Mirren · Away21 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −6.36 |
| M7 | Ross County · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.00 | −7.36 |
| M8 | Aberdeen · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.96 | −8.32 |
| M9 | St Mirren · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −7.17 |
| M10 | Hibernian · Away27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −7.37 |
| M11 | Kilmarnock · Home30 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.84 | −9.21 |
| M12 | St Johnstone · Away2 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | −7.92 |
| M13 | Rangers · Away10 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.55 | −8.47 |
| M14 | Celtic · Home23 Nov 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.64 | −9.11 |
| M15 | Aberdeen · Home1 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.77 | −9.88 |
| M16 | Dundee · Home7 Dec 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | −8.85 |
| M17 | Kilmarnock · Away15 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −10.23 |
| M18 | St Johnstone · Home22 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −9.22 |
| M19 | Hibernian · Home26 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | −10.82 |
| M20 | Ross County · Away29 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.51 | −11.33 |
| M21 | Motherwell · Home2 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −10.25 |
| M22 | Dundee United · Away5 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −8.49 |
| M23 | Aberdeen · Away12 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.35 | −8.84 |
| M24 | Kilmarnock · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.21 | −7.63 |
| M25 | Dundee · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 6-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −6.18 |
| M26 | Rangers · Home16 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −6.93 |
| M27 | St Johnstone · Away23 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −5.69 |
| M28 | St Mirren · Home26 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.15 | −4.54 |
| M29 | Hibernian · Away2 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −5.83 |
| M30 | Ross County · Home15 Mar 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.82 | −5.01 |
| M31 | Celtic · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.38 | −5.39 |
| M32 | Dundee United · Home6 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.90 | −7.29 |
| M33 | Motherwell · Away12 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.83 | −8.11 |
| M34 | Dundee · Home26 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.09 | −10.20 |
| M35 | Ross County · Away3 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −8.98 |
| M36 | Motherwell · Home10 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −7.98 |
| M37 | St Johnstone · Home14 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −6.96 |
| M38 | Kilmarnock · Away18 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −5.23 |
| Total | 52 | −5.23 | |||