Points
58Points expected by the market
53.22Gap
+4.78Yield
+5.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.70 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | −0.95 | −22.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 22 | +0.78 | −9.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 7 | +3.24 | +81.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 6 | +1.70 | +46.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +1.24 | +1.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.60 | −37.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +2.16 | +119.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 3 | −2.19 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 16 | +0.19 | −0.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | +1.08 | +52.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St Mirren · Away4 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.38 | −1.38 |
| M2 | Celtic · Home11 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.49 | −1.87 |
| M3 | Dundee · Home24 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −2.52 |
| M4 | Kilmarnock · Away1 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −2.83 |
| M5 | St Johnstone · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | −1.85 |
| M6 | Rangers · Away29 Sep 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.45 | −2.30 |
| M7 | Motherwell · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.82 | −4.12 |
| M8 | Dundee United · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.42 | −5.54 |
| M9 | Hearts · Home27 Oct 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −6.05 |
| M10 | Ross County · Away30 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.75 | −6.80 |
| M11 | Dundee United · Home3 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −7.64 |
| M12 | St Mirren · Home9 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −9.49 |
| M13 | Dundee · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.42 | −10.90 |
| M14 | Aberdeen · Home26 Nov 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.41 | −11.31 |
| M15 | Motherwell · Away30 Nov 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −9.75 |
| M16 | Celtic · Away7 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.32 | −10.06 |
| M17 | Ross County · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −9.24 |
| M18 | Aberdeen · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −7.32 |
| M19 | Hearts · Away26 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −5.45 |
| M20 | Kilmarnock · Home29 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −4.17 |
| M21 | St Johnstone · Away2 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −4.87 |
| M22 | Rangers · Home5 Jan 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.29 | −4.58 |
| M23 | Motherwell · Home11 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.90 | −3.68 |
| M24 | Ross County · Away25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −4.42 |
| M25 | Aberdeen · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.17 | −3.25 |
| M26 | St Mirren · Away16 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.42 | −3.67 |
| M27 | Celtic · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.36 | −1.31 |
| M28 | Dundee United · Away26 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.62 | +0.31 |
| M29 | Hearts · Home2 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.89 |
| M30 | Kilmarnock · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | +1.64 |
| M31 | St Johnstone · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.99 | +2.64 |
| M32 | Rangers · Away5 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.33 | +4.96 |
| M33 | Dundee · Home13 Apr 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +5.85 |
| M34 | Aberdeen · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | +4.58 |
| M35 | Dundee United · Home3 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.65 |
| M36 | Celtic · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.48 | +5.16 |
| M37 | St Mirren · Away14 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | +4.84 |
| M38 | Rangers · Home17 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | +4.78 |
| Total | 58 | +4.78 | |||