Points
44Points expected by the market
48.86Gap
−4.86Yield
−14.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 15 | −4.76 | −33.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 15 | 22 | +1.47 | +1.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 7 | −1.58 | −15.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −1.46 | −19.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 14 | +3.88 | +39.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 3 | +1.20 | +91.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 0 | −3.30 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 8 | −2.41 | −31.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 4 | −2.78 | −51.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Celtic · Away4 Aug 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.25 | −0.25 |
| M2 | St Johnstone · Home11 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.00 | −2.25 |
| M3 | Aberdeen · Away25 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −3.10 |
| M4 | Hibernian · Home1 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.39 | −3.49 |
| M5 | St Mirren · Away14 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.22 | −3.72 |
| M6 | Dundee United · Home28 Sep 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.65 | −4.37 |
| M7 | Dundee · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.81 | −2.56 |
| M8 | Rangers · Home20 Oct 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.29 | −0.27 |
| M9 | Ross County · Away26 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.69 | −1.96 |
| M10 | Hearts · Away30 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.10 | +0.14 |
| M11 | Dundee · Away3 Nov 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.40 | −1.26 |
| M12 | Celtic · Home10 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.43 | −1.69 |
| M13 | St Johnstone · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.61 | −3.30 |
| M14 | Dundee · Home30 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.68 | −3.98 |
| M15 | Rangers · Away4 Dec 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.37 | −4.35 |
| M16 | Dundee United · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −4.37 |
| M17 | Hearts · Home15 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −2.70 |
| M18 | Motherwell · Away20 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.10 | −2.80 |
| M19 | Aberdeen · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.57 | −1.22 |
| M20 | Hibernian · Away29 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.01 | −2.23 |
| M21 | St Mirren · Home2 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.44 | −0.80 |
| M22 | Ross County · Home5 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.02 | −2.82 |
| M23 | Motherwell · Home8 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.80 | −3.62 |
| M24 | Hearts · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.94 | −4.56 |
| M25 | Dundee United · Home1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −3.06 |
| M26 | St Johnstone · Home15 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.18 | −1.88 |
| M27 | Aberdeen · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.09 | −2.97 |
| M28 | Rangers · Home26 Feb 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.66 | −3.63 |
| M29 | Ross County · Away1 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −5.11 |
| M30 | Hibernian · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −5.57 |
| M31 | St Mirren · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.20 | −6.77 |
| M32 | Motherwell · Home5 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −5.64 |
| M33 | Celtic · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.33 | −5.97 |
| M34 | Ross County · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.14 | −4.83 |
| M35 | St Johnstone · Away3 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.53 | −3.31 |
| M36 | Dundee · Home10 May 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.24 | −2.06 |
| M37 | Motherwell · Away14 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −3.41 |
| M38 | Hearts · Home18 May 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.45 | −4.86 |
| Total | 44 | −4.86 | |||