Points
49Points expected by the market
40.10Gap
+8.90Yield
+53.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | +0.18 | +5.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 20 | +6.28 | +56.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 22 | 19 | +2.44 | +64.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 10 | +0.18 | +5.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 17 | +6.05 | +66.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −0.16 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.22 | +18.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 17 | +2.60 | +100.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Ross County · Home3 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.56 | −0.56 |
| M2 | Rangers · Away10 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.35 | −0.91 |
| M3 | Hearts · Home25 Aug 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.89 |
| M4 | St Johnstone · Away31 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.52 | +2.41 |
| M5 | Aberdeen · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | +1.60 |
| M6 | St Mirren · Home28 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +3.00 |
| M7 | Hibernian · Away5 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.08 | +5.07 |
| M8 | Dundee · Home19 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | +3.40 |
| M9 | Celtic · Home27 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.38 | +3.01 |
| M10 | Dundee United · Away30 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +5.02 |
| M11 | St Johnstone · Home9 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +6.41 |
| M12 | Ross County · Away23 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +5.11 |
| M13 | Hibernian · Home30 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.29 | +3.82 |
| M14 | Dundee · Away4 Dec 2024 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.08 | +2.75 |
| M15 | St Mirren · Away7 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.06 | +4.80 |
| M16 | Dundee United · Home14 Dec 2024 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.59 | +6.39 |
| M17 | Kilmarnock · Home20 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | +5.77 |
| M18 | Celtic · Away26 Dec 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.27 | +5.50 |
| M19 | Rangers · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.47 | +5.97 |
| M20 | Hearts · Away2 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.83 | +5.14 |
| M21 | Aberdeen · Home5 Jan 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.66 | +6.81 |
| M22 | Kilmarnock · Away8 Jan 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | +6.88 |
| M23 | Hibernian · Away11 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.68 | +6.20 |
| M24 | St Johnstone · Away25 Jan 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | +5.16 |
| M25 | Celtic · Home2 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.32 | +4.83 |
| M26 | Ross County · Home15 Feb 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.65 | +3.19 |
| M27 | Dundee United · Away22 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.84 | +2.35 |
| M28 | Dundee · Home26 Feb 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.85 |
| M29 | Rangers · Away1 Mar 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.75 | +6.60 |
| M30 | St Mirren · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.30 | +6.30 |
| M31 | Aberdeen · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.81 | +5.48 |
| M32 | Kilmarnock · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.87 | +4.61 |
| M33 | Hearts · Home12 Apr 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | +4.69 |
| M34 | St Johnstone · Home26 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.35 | +6.03 |
| M35 | Dundee · Away3 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.94 | +7.98 |
| M36 | Hearts · Away10 May 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.77 | +7.20 |
| M37 | Kilmarnock · Home14 May 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +8.85 |
| M38 | Ross County · Away18 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | +8.90 |
| Total | 49 | +8.90 | |||