Points
75Points expected by the market
81.23Gap
−6.23Yield
−10.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 24 | 54 | −4.46 | −12.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −4.42 | −48.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 5 | +1.28 | +7.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.37 | +147.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 40 | −2.22 | −7.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.62 | +61.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 14 | −2.24 | −24.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 13 | −4.42 | −48.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.34 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.37 | +147.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hearts · Away3 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | −0.88 |
| M2 | Motherwell · Home10 Aug 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.48 | −0.39 |
| M3 | Ross County · Home24 Aug 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.42 | +0.03 |
| M4 | Celtic · Away1 Sep 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −0.79 |
| M5 | Dundee United · Away15 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +0.11 |
| M6 | Hibernian · Home29 Sep 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +0.73 |
| M7 | St Johnstone · Home6 Oct 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.29 | +1.02 |
| M8 | Kilmarnock · Away20 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.08 | −1.05 |
| M9 | St Mirren · Home27 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.60 | −0.45 |
| M10 | Aberdeen · Away30 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.73 | −2.18 |
| M11 | Hearts · Home10 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | −1.44 |
| M12 | Dundee United · Home23 Nov 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.47 | −2.91 |
| M13 | St Johnstone · Away1 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.65 | −2.26 |
| M14 | Kilmarnock · Home4 Dec 2024 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.52 | −1.74 |
| M15 | Ross County · Away8 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.48 | −1.25 |
| M16 | Dundee · Home21 Dec 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.29 | −0.96 |
| M17 | St Mirren · Away26 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.33 | −3.29 |
| M18 | Motherwell · Away29 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.29 | −4.58 |
| M19 | Celtic · Home2 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.86 | −2.72 |
| M20 | Hibernian · Away5 Jan 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.08 | −3.79 |
| M21 | Dundee · Away9 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.37 | −5.16 |
| M22 | St Johnstone · Home12 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.35 | −4.82 |
| M23 | Aberdeen · Home15 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.49 | −4.33 |
| M24 | Dundee United · Away26 Jan 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.98 | −3.36 |
| M25 | Ross County · Home2 Feb 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.30 | −3.05 |
| M26 | Hearts · Away16 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −2.08 |
| M27 | St Mirren · Home22 Feb 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.55 | −4.63 |
| M28 | Kilmarnock · Away26 Feb 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.87 | −3.77 |
| M29 | Motherwell · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.64 | −6.40 |
| M30 | Celtic · Away16 Mar 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.19 | −4.21 |
| M31 | Dundee · Away29 Mar 2025 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.74 | −3.47 |
| M32 | Hibernian · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.12 | −5.59 |
| M33 | Aberdeen · Away13 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | −5.93 |
| M34 | St Mirren · Away26 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | −6.74 |
| M35 | Celtic · Home4 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.24 | −6.97 |
| M36 | Aberdeen · Home11 May 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.86 | −6.11 |
| M37 | Dundee United · Home14 May 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.59 | −5.52 |
| M38 | Hibernian · Away17 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | −6.23 |
| Total | 75 | −6.23 | |||