Points
37Points expected by the market
35.89Gap
+1.11Yield
−11.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 15 | +1.07 | −0.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 25 | 20 | +1.61 | −9.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 2 | −1.57 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.74 | +36.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 5 | −1.92 | −57.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.67 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 15 | +3.52 | +17.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Motherwell · Away3 Aug 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.15 |
| M2 | Dundee United · Home10 Aug 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.15 | −0.30 |
| M3 | Rangers · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.30 | −0.61 |
| M4 | Aberdeen · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.54 |
| M5 | Dundee · Home14 Sep 2024 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +0.19 |
| M6 | St Johnstone · Home21 Sep 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.77 | −0.58 |
| M7 | Hearts · Away28 Sep 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.24 | −0.34 |
| M8 | Celtic · Home6 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.33 | −0.67 |
| M9 | St Johnstone · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.97 |
| M10 | Kilmarnock · Home26 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.97 | 0.00 |
| M11 | Hibernian · Home30 Oct 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | +0.03 |
| M12 | St Mirren · Away2 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.17 | +0.21 |
| M13 | Dundee United · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.89 | −0.68 |
| M14 | Motherwell · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.93 |
| M15 | Celtic · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 0-5 | 0 | −0.17 | +0.76 |
| M16 | Rangers · Home8 Dec 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.34 | +0.42 |
| M17 | Hibernian · Away14 Dec 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.61 | −0.19 |
| M18 | St Mirren · Home21 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −1.47 |
| M19 | Dundee · Away26 Dec 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.10 | +0.63 |
| M20 | Hearts · Home29 Dec 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.20 | +0.42 |
| M21 | Aberdeen · Away2 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.17 | +2.60 |
| M22 | Kilmarnock · Away5 Jan 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.26 | +4.86 |
| M23 | Celtic · Home11 Jan 2025 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.35 | +4.51 |
| M24 | Hibernian · Home25 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.01 | +4.52 |
| M25 | Rangers · Away2 Feb 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.21 | +4.31 |
| M26 | Motherwell · Away15 Feb 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.95 | +6.26 |
| M27 | Dundee · Home22 Feb 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +7.77 |
| M28 | St Johnstone · Away26 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.22 | +6.54 |
| M29 | Kilmarnock · Home1 Mar 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.78 | +8.33 |
| M30 | Hearts · Away15 Mar 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.60 | +7.73 |
| M31 | Dundee United · Home30 Mar 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.24 | +6.49 |
| M32 | Aberdeen · Home5 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | +5.46 |
| M33 | St Mirren · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.69 | +4.77 |
| M34 | Kilmarnock · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.86 | +3.91 |
| M35 | Hearts · Home3 May 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.95 | +2.95 |
| M36 | St Johnstone · Away10 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +1.92 |
| M37 | Dundee · Away14 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | +1.91 |
| M38 | Motherwell · Home18 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | +1.11 |
| Total | 37 | +1.11 | |||