Points
32Points expected by the market
36.20Gap
−4.20Yield
+17.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.65 | +104.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 11 | −4.04 | −30.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 15 | −2.80 | +34.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.65 | +104.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 10 | −2.74 | −16.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.06 | +157.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.31 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 11 | −1.74 | −16.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aberdeen · Home5 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.97 |
| M2 | Kilmarnock · Away11 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.23 | +1.26 |
| M3 | Dundee United · Away24 Aug 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.89 | +0.37 |
| M4 | Motherwell · Home31 Aug 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −0.87 |
| M5 | Hibernian · Away14 Sep 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.62 |
| M6 | Ross County · Away21 Sep 2024 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.04 | −1.58 |
| M7 | Celtic · Home28 Sep 2024 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.27 | −1.85 |
| M8 | Rangers · Away6 Oct 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.20 | −2.05 |
| M9 | Ross County · Home19 Oct 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −0.45 |
| M10 | Dundee · Away26 Oct 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +1.66 |
| M11 | St Mirren · Away30 Oct 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.00 | +0.66 |
| M12 | Hearts · Home2 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −0.37 |
| M13 | Motherwell · Away9 Nov 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −1.48 |
| M14 | Kilmarnock · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +0.40 |
| M15 | Rangers · Home1 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.49 | −0.09 |
| M16 | Aberdeen · Away7 Dec 2024 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | +0.15 |
| M17 | St Mirren · Home14 Dec 2024 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.30 | −1.16 |
| M18 | Hearts · Away22 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.93 |
| M19 | Dundee United · Home26 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.23 | −3.16 |
| M20 | Celtic · Away29 Dec 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.19 | −3.35 |
| M21 | Hibernian · Home2 Jan 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −3.38 |
| M22 | Dundee · Home5 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.41 | −4.79 |
| M23 | Rangers · Away12 Jan 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.24 | −5.04 |
| M24 | Motherwell · Home25 Jan 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.34 | −3.70 |
| M25 | St Mirren · Away1 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.09 | −1.61 |
| M26 | Kilmarnock · Away15 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.90 | −2.51 |
| M27 | Hearts · Home23 Feb 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −3.48 |
| M28 | Ross County · Home26 Feb 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.52 | −1.96 |
| M29 | Dundee · Away1 Mar 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.20 | −2.16 |
| M30 | Aberdeen · Home15 Mar 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | −2.40 |
| M31 | Hibernian · Away29 Mar 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.15 |
| M32 | Celtic · Home6 Apr 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.72 | −0.43 |
| M33 | Dundee United · Away12 Apr 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.36 |
| M34 | Motherwell · Away26 Apr 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.06 | −2.42 |
| M35 | Kilmarnock · Home3 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.24 | −3.66 |
| M36 | Ross County · Home10 May 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.31 | −2.35 |
| M37 | Hearts · Away14 May 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −3.10 |
| M38 | Dundee · Home18 May 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.09 | −4.20 |
| Total | 32 | −4.20 | |||