Points
50Points expected by the market
44.82Gap
+5.18Yield
+50.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −4.05 | −41.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 29 | +3.52 | +9.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 14 | +5.71 | +151.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 7 | −4.05 | −41.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 18 | +4.00 | +28.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 4 | +1.70 | +126.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 11 | −0.49 | −11.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 10 | +4.01 | +162.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hibernian · Home4 Aug 2024 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.67 |
| M2 | Aberdeen · Away11 Aug 2024 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | +0.82 |
| M3 | Celtic · Home25 Aug 2024 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.37 | +0.45 |
| M4 | Dundee · Away31 Aug 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.26 |
| M5 | Kilmarnock · Home14 Sep 2024 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.48 | −0.22 |
| M6 | Hearts · Home21 Sep 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.47 |
| M7 | Motherwell · Away28 Sep 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.36 |
| M8 | Dundee United · Home5 Oct 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.50 | −1.14 |
| M9 | Hearts · Away19 Oct 2024 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.89 | −2.03 |
| M10 | Rangers · Away27 Oct 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.43 | −2.46 |
| M11 | St Johnstone · Home30 Oct 2024 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −1.18 |
| M12 | Ross County · Home2 Nov 2024 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.91 | −2.09 |
| M13 | Hibernian · Away9 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +0.02 |
| M14 | Aberdeen · Home23 Nov 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +1.69 |
| M15 | Dundee United · Away30 Nov 2024 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.19 | +0.49 |
| M16 | Motherwell · Home7 Dec 2024 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | −1.29 |
| M17 | St Johnstone · Away14 Dec 2024 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.60 | +0.31 |
| M18 | Ross County · Away21 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | +1.90 |
| M19 | Rangers · Home26 Dec 2024 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.51 | +4.41 |
| M20 | Dundee · Home29 Dec 2024 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | +2.64 |
| M21 | Kilmarnock · Away2 Jan 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.15 | +1.50 |
| M22 | Celtic · Away5 Jan 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.28 | +1.22 |
| M23 | Dundee United · Home11 Jan 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.18 |
| M24 | Aberdeen · Away25 Jan 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.96 | +1.78 |
| M25 | St Johnstone · Home1 Feb 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.81 | −0.03 |
| M26 | Hibernian · Home16 Feb 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.31 |
| M27 | Rangers · Away22 Feb 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.69 | +2.37 |
| M28 | Hearts · Away26 Feb 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.89 | +1.48 |
| M29 | Celtic · Home1 Mar 2025 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.48 | +1.00 |
| M30 | Motherwell · Away15 Mar 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +0.61 |
| M31 | Kilmarnock · Home29 Mar 2025 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.49 | +2.11 |
| M32 | Dundee · Away5 Apr 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.40 | +0.71 |
| M33 | Ross County · Home12 Apr 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.93 | +1.63 |
| M34 | Rangers · Home26 Apr 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.04 | +1.68 |
| M35 | Aberdeen · Home3 May 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.53 | +3.21 |
| M36 | Dundee United · Away10 May 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.75 | +4.96 |
| M37 | Hibernian · Home14 May 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +4.57 |
| M38 | Celtic · Away17 May 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.60 | +5.18 |
| Total | 50 | +5.18 | |||