Points
40Points expected by the market
47.78Gap
−7.78Yield
−31.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +2.35 | +11.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 17 | −4.20 | −28.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 3 | −5.93 | −69.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +0.95 | +0.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −2.30 | −46.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 3 | −0.28 | −9.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.40 | +115.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 11 | −1.90 | −18.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 0 | −5.66 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hearts · Away4 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.90 | −0.90 |
| M2 | Celtic · Home10 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.52 | −1.41 |
| M3 | Falkirk · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | −2.99 |
| M4 | Livingston · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | −3.80 |
| M5 | Dundee United · Away23 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −5.09 |
| M6 | Motherwell · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −6.20 |
| M7 | Dundee · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.97 | −5.23 |
| M8 | St Mirren · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.76 | −3.47 |
| M9 | Hibernian · Home26 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −4.80 |
| M10 | Kilmarnock · Away29 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.61 | −3.19 |
| M11 | Motherwell · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −3.65 |
| M12 | Hearts · Home23 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −1.70 |
| M13 | Livingston · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | −0.03 |
| M14 | St Mirren · Home3 Dec 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.54 | −0.57 |
| M15 | Dundee · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +0.83 |
| M16 | Kilmarnock · Home14 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +1.91 |
| M17 | Celtic · Away21 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.56 | +1.35 |
| M18 | Dundee United · Home27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | +0.51 |
| M19 | Hibernian · Away30 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −0.44 |
| M20 | Falkirk · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.18 | −1.62 |
| M21 | Rangers · Away6 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.53 | −2.14 |
| M22 | Rangers · Home11 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | −3.07 |
| M23 | Livingston · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 6-2 | 3 | +1.15 | −1.91 |
| M24 | Kilmarnock · Away31 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.41 |
| M25 | Motherwell · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −4.16 |
| M26 | Dundee · Home21 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.70 | −5.86 |
| M27 | Dundee United · Away24 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.11 | −5.98 |
| M28 | Hearts · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.60 | −6.58 |
| M29 | Celtic · Home4 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.79 | −7.37 |
| M30 | Falkirk · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −7.64 |
| M31 | Rangers · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.35 | −7.98 |
| M32 | St Mirren · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.03 | −9.01 |
| M33 | Hibernian · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −7.16 |
| M34 | Kilmarnock · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −5.88 |
| M35 | Livingston · Away1 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −6.32 |
| M36 | Dundee United · Home9 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.40 | −4.91 |
| M37 | St Mirren · Home12 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.55 | −6.46 |
| M38 | Dundee · Away17 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.32 | −7.78 |
| Total | 40 | −7.78 | |||