Points
82Points expected by the market
82.28Gap
−0.28Yield
−6.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 22 | 55 | +2.70 | +3.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 25 | −2.30 | −7.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.69 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 14 | 37 | +2.82 | +3.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | −1.02 | +0.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 18 | −0.12 | +2.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | −1.28 | −11.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 2 | −0.69 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | St Mirren · Home3 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.37 | +0.37 |
| M2 | Aberdeen · Away10 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.69 | +1.06 |
| M3 | Livingston · Home23 Aug 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.53 | +1.59 |
| M4 | Rangers · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | +0.75 |
| M5 | Kilmarnock · Away14 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.60 | +1.35 |
| M6 | Hibernian · Home27 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.30 | +0.05 |
| M7 | Motherwell · Home5 Oct 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.51 | +0.55 |
| M8 | Dundee · Away19 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.53 | −1.97 |
| M9 | Hearts · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.56 | −3.53 |
| M10 | Falkirk · Home29 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.47 | −3.07 |
| M11 | Kilmarnock · Home9 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.41 | −2.66 |
| M12 | St Mirren · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.82 | −1.83 |
| M13 | Hibernian · Away30 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.19 | −0.65 |
| M14 | Dundee · Home3 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.37 | −0.28 |
| M15 | Hearts · Home7 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.04 | −2.31 |
| M16 | Dundee United · Away17 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.11 | −4.42 |
| M17 | Aberdeen · Home21 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.73 | −3.68 |
| M18 | Livingston · Away27 Dec 2025 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.78 | −2.90 |
| M19 | Motherwell · Away30 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.96 | −4.86 |
| M20 | Rangers · Home3 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.89 | −6.75 |
| M21 | Dundee United · Home10 Jan 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.55 | −6.20 |
| M22 | Falkirk · Away14 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.88 | −5.33 |
| M23 | Hearts · Away25 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.54 | −5.87 |
| M24 | Falkirk · Home1 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.75 | −5.12 |
| M25 | Livingston · Home11 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.36 | −4.76 |
| M26 | Kilmarnock · Away15 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.74 | −4.02 |
| M27 | Hibernian · Home22 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.17 | −6.19 |
| M28 | Rangers · Away1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | −6.34 |
| M29 | Aberdeen · Away4 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −5.32 |
| M30 | Motherwell · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.08 | −4.24 |
| M31 | Dundee United · Away22 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.04 | −6.29 |
| M32 | Dundee · Away5 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | −5.36 |
| M33 | St Mirren · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.63 | −4.73 |
| M34 | Falkirk · Home25 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.62 | −4.12 |
| M35 | Hibernian · Away3 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | −3.15 |
| M36 | Rangers · Home10 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −1.94 |
| M37 | Motherwell · Away13 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.04 | −0.90 |
| M38 | Hearts · Home16 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.61 | −0.28 |
| Total | 82 | −0.28 | |||