Points
42Points expected by the market
35.84Gap
+6.16Yield
+18.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.34 | −11.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 22 | +5.90 | +33.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 23 | 16 | −0.09 | +12.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.34 | −11.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 21 | +7.17 | +57.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 6 | +1.73 | +190.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.27 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 10 | −1.82 | −50.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Hibernian · Home3 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −0.97 |
| M2 | Rangers · Away9 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.74 | −0.23 |
| M3 | Kilmarnock · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −0.21 |
| M4 | Dundee United · Home31 Aug 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.29 | −1.50 |
| M5 | Motherwell · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.14 | −1.64 |
| M6 | Livingston · Home20 Sep 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.75 | +0.11 |
| M7 | St Mirren · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.74 | −0.63 |
| M8 | Aberdeen · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.74 | −1.37 |
| M9 | Celtic · Home19 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.66 | +1.29 |
| M10 | Falkirk · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | +0.31 |
| M11 | Hearts · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.41 | −0.10 |
| M12 | Rangers · Home9 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.61 | −0.71 |
| M13 | Hibernian · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.53 | −1.25 |
| M14 | St Mirren · Home29 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +0.65 |
| M15 | Celtic · Away3 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.26 | +0.38 |
| M16 | Aberdeen · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.11 | −0.73 |
| M17 | Livingston · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | −0.66 |
| M18 | Motherwell · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.52 | −1.18 |
| M19 | Falkirk · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +0.69 |
| M20 | Kilmarnock · Home30 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | +2.39 |
| M21 | Dundee United · Away3 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.17 | +4.56 |
| M22 | Hearts · Home11 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.69 | +3.87 |
| M23 | Rangers · Away25 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.45 | +3.41 |
| M24 | St Mirren · Away31 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.09 | +3.51 |
| M25 | Falkirk · Away11 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | +2.59 |
| M26 | Livingston · Home14 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.83 | +1.76 |
| M27 | Aberdeen · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.97 | +3.73 |
| M28 | Hibernian · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.15 | +3.58 |
| M29 | Motherwell · Home7 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.06 | +5.64 |
| M30 | Dundee United · Home15 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | +5.20 |
| M31 | Hearts · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.57 | +4.63 |
| M32 | Celtic · Home5 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | +3.92 |
| M33 | Kilmarnock · Away11 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.15 | +3.77 |
| M34 | Dundee United · Away26 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.11 | +2.66 |
| M35 | St Mirren · Home2 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.49 | +4.15 |
| M36 | Livingston · Home9 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +5.32 |
| M37 | Kilmarnock · Away12 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.76 | +4.55 |
| M38 | Aberdeen · Home17 May 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.60 | +6.16 |
| Total | 42 | +6.16 | |||