Points
45Points expected by the market
44.69Gap
+0.31Yield
−16.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 10 | −6.04 | −58.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 20 | +3.44 | −1.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 15 | +2.90 | −3.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 10 | −6.04 | −58.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 11 | +4.26 | +44.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +2.71 | +120.2% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 9 | −0.82 | −30.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 8 | +0.19 | −59.9% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Falkirk · Away3 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.07 |
| M2 | Hearts · Home10 Aug 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.93 | −0.85 |
| M3 | Dundee · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.72 |
| M4 | Hibernian · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.15 | +0.88 |
| M5 | Aberdeen · Home23 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.57 | +2.45 |
| M6 | Kilmarnock · Home27 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.80 | +0.65 |
| M7 | Livingston · Home4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.84 | −0.18 |
| M8 | Rangers · Away18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.41 | +0.22 |
| M9 | St Mirren · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.48 | +1.70 |
| M10 | Motherwell · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.11 | +0.60 |
| M11 | Hearts · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.46 | +1.06 |
| M12 | Falkirk · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.67 | −0.62 |
| M13 | Kilmarnock · Away29 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −0.89 |
| M14 | Rangers · Home3 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.06 | −0.94 |
| M15 | St Mirren · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.88 |
| M16 | Motherwell · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.21 | −2.09 |
| M17 | Celtic · Home17 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.31 | +0.23 |
| M18 | Hibernian · Home20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | +0.07 |
| M19 | Aberdeen · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | +0.16 |
| M20 | Livingston · Away30 Dec 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.81 | +1.97 |
| M21 | Dundee · Home3 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.93 | +0.04 |
| M22 | Celtic · Away10 Jan 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.40 | −0.36 |
| M23 | Hearts · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −1.23 |
| M24 | Hibernian · Away4 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −1.96 |
| M25 | Falkirk · Away14 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.11 | +0.15 |
| M26 | Kilmarnock · Home21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.72 | −0.57 |
| M27 | Aberdeen · Home24 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.61 | −1.18 |
| M28 | Motherwell · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.54 | −1.72 |
| M29 | St Mirren · Home3 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.58 | −0.14 |
| M30 | Dundee · Away15 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −0.42 |
| M31 | Celtic · Home22 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.25 | +1.83 |
| M32 | Rangers · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.50 | +1.34 |
| M33 | Livingston · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.05 | +2.39 |
| M34 | Dundee · Home26 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.38 | +3.77 |
| M35 | Kilmarnock · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +2.57 |
| M36 | Aberdeen · Away9 May 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +1.44 |
| M37 | Livingston · Home12 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.90 | +0.54 |
| M38 | St Mirren · Away17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +0.31 |
| Total | 45 | +0.31 | |||