Points
49Points expected by the market
46.06Gap
+2.94Yield
−1.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 17 | −0.77 | −7.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 21 | +5.04 | +42.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 11 | −1.33 | −30.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.02 | −18.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.93 | +27.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −3.25 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.25 | +89.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +2.12 | +57.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 10 | +1.92 | +1.7% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dundee United · Home3 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.82 | −0.82 |
| M2 | Livingston · Away9 Aug 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.33 | −2.15 |
| M3 | Aberdeen · Away31 Aug 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.84 | −0.30 |
| M4 | St Mirren · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.53 | −1.83 |
| M5 | Hibernian · Home23 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.24 | −2.07 |
| M6 | Hearts · Away27 Sep 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −2.76 |
| M7 | Rangers · Home5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | −2.57 |
| M8 | Motherwell · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.02 | −0.55 |
| M9 | Dundee · Home25 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +0.68 |
| M10 | Celtic · Away29 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.34 | +0.34 |
| M11 | Kilmarnock · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.69 |
| M12 | Livingston · Home8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | +1.00 |
| M13 | Dundee United · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +2.93 |
| M14 | Rangers · Away30 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.30 | +3.23 |
| M15 | Motherwell · Home3 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +3.08 |
| M16 | Hibernian · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | +2.24 |
| M17 | Hearts · Home13 Dec 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | +1.32 |
| M18 | Kilmarnock · Away20 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +3.05 |
| M19 | Dundee · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.57 | +1.47 |
| M20 | Aberdeen · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.45 | +2.93 |
| M21 | St Mirren · Away10 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.90 | +4.83 |
| M22 | Celtic · Home14 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | +4.16 |
| M23 | Hibernian · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +5.82 |
| M24 | Celtic · Away1 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.56 | +5.26 |
| M25 | Livingston · Away4 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +6.51 |
| M26 | Dundee · Home11 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +7.70 |
| M27 | Dundee United · Home14 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.85 | +5.85 |
| M28 | Hearts · Away21 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | +4.97 |
| M29 | Kilmarnock · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.05 | +6.02 |
| M30 | Aberdeen · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +5.57 |
| M31 | St Mirren · Home21 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.86 | +3.71 |
| M32 | Motherwell · Away4 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.00 | +5.72 |
| M33 | Rangers · Home12 Apr 2026 | L 3-6 | 0 | −0.98 | +4.74 |
| M34 | Celtic · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.46 | +4.28 |
| M35 | Motherwell · Home2 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +6.00 |
| M36 | Hibernian · Home9 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.62 | +4.39 |
| M37 | Hearts · Away13 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.58 | +3.80 |
| M38 | Rangers · Home16 May 2026 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.86 | +2.94 |
| Total | 49 | +2.94 | |||