Points
80Points expected by the market
65.78Gap
+14.22Yield
+30.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 24 | +1.43 | −4.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 39 | +6.69 | +21.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +3.11 | +40.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.98 | +140.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 23 | +2.57 | +6.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 19 | +6.36 | +59.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +3.39 | +96.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.14 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 20 | +0.34 | −3.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.27 | −15.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +2.98 | +140.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Aberdeen · Home4 Aug 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.16 | +1.16 |
| M2 | Dundee United · Away10 Aug 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.19 | +2.35 |
| M3 | Motherwell · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.96 | +1.39 |
| M4 | Livingston · Away30 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.32 | +2.71 |
| M5 | Rangers · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | +4.80 |
| M6 | Falkirk · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +5.70 |
| M7 | Hibernian · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +6.90 |
| M8 | Kilmarnock · Away18 Oct 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.17 | +8.07 |
| M9 | Celtic · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.82 | +9.89 |
| M10 | St Mirren · Away29 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.71 | +9.18 |
| M11 | Dundee · Home1 Nov 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +9.75 |
| M12 | Dundee United · Home9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.28 | +8.47 |
| M13 | Aberdeen · Away23 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.68 | +6.79 |
| M14 | Motherwell · Away29 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +6.22 |
| M15 | Kilmarnock · Home3 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.37 | +4.85 |
| M16 | Celtic · Away7 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.26 | +7.11 |
| M17 | Falkirk · Away13 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +8.29 |
| M18 | Rangers · Home21 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | +9.68 |
| M19 | Hibernian · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.43 | +8.25 |
| M20 | Livingston · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.56 | +8.80 |
| M21 | Dundee · Away11 Jan 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.92 | +9.72 |
| M22 | St Mirren · Home14 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +10.56 |
| M23 | Celtic · Home25 Jan 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.18 | +10.38 |
| M24 | Dundee United · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +11.51 |
| M25 | St Mirren · Away3 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.73 | +9.78 |
| M26 | Hibernian · Home10 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.13 | +10.91 |
| M27 | Rangers · Away15 Feb 2026 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.97 | +9.94 |
| M28 | Falkirk · Home21 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.14 | +11.08 |
| M29 | Aberdeen · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.81 | +11.88 |
| M30 | Kilmarnock · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.89 | +10.00 |
| M31 | Dundee · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +10.76 |
| M32 | Livingston · Away5 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.14 | +9.62 |
| M33 | Motherwell · Home11 Apr 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +10.92 |
| M34 | Hibernian · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +12.54 |
| M35 | Rangers · Home4 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +14.28 |
| M36 | Motherwell · Away9 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | +13.83 |
| M37 | Falkirk · Home13 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.78 | +14.61 |
| M38 | Celtic · Away16 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.39 | +14.22 |
| Total | 80 | +14.22 | |||