Points
57Points expected by the market
55.72Gap
+1.28Yield
+0.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.49 | −32.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 31 | +0.46 | −19.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 13 | −0.26 | +10.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 9 | +1.57 | +33.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 4 | −0.49 | −32.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +1.38 | −9.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.93 | −11.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 1 | −1.72 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −0.91 | −37.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | +0.67 | +20.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 8 | +3.29 | +100.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Dundee · Away3 Aug 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.23 |
| M2 | Kilmarnock · Home10 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.10 | +0.13 |
| M3 | St Mirren · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −0.60 |
| M4 | Dundee United · Home13 Sep 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.91 | −1.51 |
| M5 | Falkirk · Away23 Sep 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −2.01 |
| M6 | Celtic · Away27 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.47 | −1.53 |
| M7 | Hearts · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −2.48 |
| M8 | Livingston · Home18 Oct 2025 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.93 | −1.54 |
| M9 | Aberdeen · Away26 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +0.07 |
| M10 | Rangers · Home29 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −1.25 |
| M11 | Livingston · Away1 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.66 | −1.92 |
| M12 | St Mirren · Away8 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.29 |
| M13 | Dundee · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +0.43 |
| M14 | Motherwell · Away25 Nov 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.51 | −1.08 |
| M15 | Celtic · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −2.02 |
| M16 | Falkirk · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.08 | −0.94 |
| M17 | Rangers · Away15 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.08 | −2.01 |
| M18 | Dundee United · Away20 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | −2.58 |
| M19 | Hearts · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.72 | −0.86 |
| M20 | Aberdeen · Home30 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +0.35 |
| M21 | Kilmarnock · Away3 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.23 | +1.58 |
| M22 | Motherwell · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.67 | +0.92 |
| M23 | Falkirk · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.37 | −0.45 |
| M24 | Rangers · Home1 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.48 |
| M25 | Dundee United · Home4 Feb 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.97 | +0.49 |
| M26 | Hearts · Away10 Feb 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | −0.38 |
| M27 | St Mirren · Home14 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +0.86 |
| M28 | Celtic · Away22 Feb 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.37 | +3.24 |
| M29 | Dundee · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.57 | +2.67 |
| M30 | Livingston · Home14 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.22 | +1.45 |
| M31 | Motherwell · Away21 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.01 | +1.43 |
| M32 | Kilmarnock · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +2.38 |
| M33 | Aberdeen · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.58 | +0.80 |
| M34 | Hearts · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −0.52 |
| M35 | Celtic · Home3 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.28 |
| M36 | Falkirk · Away9 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.89 | +0.61 |
| M37 | Rangers · Away13 May 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.27 | +2.88 |
| M38 | Motherwell · Home16 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | +1.28 |
| Total | 57 | +1.28 | |||