Points
40Points expected by the market
40.12Gap
−0.12Yield
−24.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +0.84 | −16.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +0.80 | +2.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 21 | 14 | −1.76 | −42.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +0.84 | −16.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 14 | +1.84 | +21.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 3 | −1.61 | −26.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.04 | −38.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 11 | −0.15 | −49.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Livingston · Home2 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.53 | −0.53 |
| M2 | Hibernian · Away10 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.32 | −0.21 |
| M3 | Dundee · Home23 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.76 | −0.97 |
| M4 | Motherwell · Away30 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.01 | −0.96 |
| M5 | Celtic · Home14 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.44 | −1.40 |
| M6 | Dundee United · Away27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.05 | +0.66 |
| M7 | St Mirren · Home4 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +2.34 |
| M8 | Hearts · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.91 | +1.42 |
| M9 | Rangers · Away26 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.50 | +0.93 |
| M10 | Aberdeen · Home29 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.33 | −0.41 |
| M11 | Falkirk · Away1 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.49 |
| M12 | Celtic · Away9 Nov 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.29 | −1.78 |
| M13 | Motherwell · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.12 | −2.91 |
| M14 | Dundee United · Home29 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −3.35 |
| M15 | Hearts · Away3 Dec 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.55 | −2.80 |
| M16 | Rangers · Home6 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.86 | −3.66 |
| M17 | Aberdeen · Away14 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.82 | −4.48 |
| M18 | Falkirk · Home20 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −5.93 |
| M19 | St Mirren · Away27 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.22 | −5.70 |
| M20 | Dundee · Away30 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.39 | −7.09 |
| M21 | Hibernian · Home3 Jan 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.97 | −8.06 |
| M22 | Livingston · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.16 | −8.22 |
| M23 | Motherwell · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.66 | −8.87 |
| M24 | Aberdeen · Home31 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.77 | −7.10 |
| M25 | Rangers · Away4 Feb 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.41 | −7.51 |
| M26 | St Mirren · Home11 Feb 2026 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.79 | −5.72 |
| M27 | Celtic · Home15 Feb 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.56 | −6.28 |
| M28 | Dundee United · Away21 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.02 | −6.30 |
| M29 | Falkirk · Away28 Feb 2026 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.81 | −7.11 |
| M30 | Hearts · Home14 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.13 | −4.99 |
| M31 | Livingston · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −3.80 |
| M32 | Hibernian · Away4 Apr 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.72 | −4.52 |
| M33 | Dundee · Home11 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | −5.09 |
| M34 | Aberdeen · Away25 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −6.11 |
| M35 | Dundee United · Home2 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.46 | −4.65 |
| M36 | St Mirren · Away9 May 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.95 | −2.70 |
| M37 | Dundee · Home12 May 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.99 | −1.71 |
| M38 | Livingston · Away17 May 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −0.12 |
| Total | 40 | −0.12 | |||