Points
21Points expected by the market
36.59Gap
−15.59Yield
−80.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.81 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 8 | −6.67 | −76.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 12 | −8.11 | −81.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.81 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 7 | −5.02 | −71.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −3.49 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 1 | −1.65 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 9 | −4.62 | −73.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Kilmarnock · Away2 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.19 | −0.19 |
| M2 | Falkirk · Home9 Aug 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.61 | +1.42 |
| M3 | Celtic · Away23 Aug 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.39 | +1.04 |
| M4 | Hearts · Home30 Aug 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −0.01 |
| M5 | Aberdeen · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.07 | +0.06 |
| M6 | Dundee · Away20 Sep 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −1.40 |
| M7 | Rangers · Home28 Sep 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.71 | −2.11 |
| M8 | Dundee United · Away4 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.09 | −2.03 |
| M9 | Hibernian · Away18 Oct 2025 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.71 | −2.74 |
| M10 | Motherwell · Home25 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.18 | −3.92 |
| M11 | Hibernian · Home1 Nov 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.07 | −3.99 |
| M12 | Falkirk · Away8 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −4.02 |
| M13 | Rangers · Away22 Nov 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.46 | −4.48 |
| M14 | Aberdeen · Home30 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −5.86 |
| M15 | Motherwell · Away6 Dec 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −6.71 |
| M16 | Dundee · Home13 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.81 | −7.52 |
| M17 | St Mirren · Away20 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −8.46 |
| M18 | Celtic · Home27 Dec 2025 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.59 | −9.05 |
| M19 | Dundee United · Home30 Dec 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.53 | −10.58 |
| M20 | Hearts · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.40 | −10.98 |
| M21 | Kilmarnock · Home10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −11.52 |
| M22 | St Mirren · Home20 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −11.79 |
| M23 | Aberdeen · Away24 Jan 2026 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.90 | −12.69 |
| M24 | Motherwell · Home31 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.95 | −13.65 |
| M25 | Falkirk · Home4 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −14.63 |
| M26 | Celtic · Away11 Feb 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.25 | −14.88 |
| M27 | Dundee · Away14 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.09 | −14.80 |
| M28 | Rangers · Home22 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.50 | −14.29 |
| M29 | St Mirren · Home28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | −14.40 |
| M30 | Hibernian · Away14 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.42 | −13.98 |
| M31 | Kilmarnock · Away21 Mar 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.93 | −14.92 |
| M32 | Hearts · Home5 Apr 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.36 | −14.56 |
| M33 | Dundee United · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.81 | −15.37 |
| M34 | St Mirren · Away25 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.18 | −13.19 |
| M35 | Aberdeen · Home1 May 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.28 | −13.47 |
| M36 | Dundee · Away9 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.92 | −14.39 |
| M37 | Dundee United · Away12 May 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | −14.26 |
| M38 | Kilmarnock · Home17 May 2026 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.33 | −15.59 |
| Total | 21 | −15.59 | |||