Points
61Points expected by the market
53.40Gap
+7.60Yield
−0.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.34 | +39.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 25 | +0.74 | −5.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 17 | +3.67 | +7.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 10 | +0.85 | −10.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 9 | +2.34 | +39.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 17 | +1.09 | +2.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +1.11 | −24.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.67 | +61.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.34 | −20.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.55 | +28.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | −0.82 | −37.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Rangers · Home2 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.30 | +0.30 |
| M2 | St Mirren · Away9 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.03 | +0.27 |
| M3 | Hearts · Away23 Aug 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.47 |
| M4 | Kilmarnock · Home30 Aug 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.74 | −0.28 |
| M5 | Dundee · Away13 Sep 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | −0.86 |
| M6 | Aberdeen · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +0.51 |
| M7 | Celtic · Away5 Oct 2025 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.37 | +0.13 |
| M8 | Falkirk · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.77 | −1.64 |
| M9 | Livingston · Away25 Oct 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.45 | −0.19 |
| M10 | Dundee United · Home29 Oct 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +1.17 |
| M11 | Aberdeen · Away9 Nov 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.90 |
| M12 | Kilmarnock · Away22 Nov 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.40 | +2.31 |
| M13 | Hibernian · Home25 Nov 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.79 | +4.10 |
| M14 | Hearts · Home29 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.15 | +3.95 |
| M15 | Falkirk · Away3 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.57 | +3.38 |
| M16 | Livingston · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +4.48 |
| M17 | Dundee United · Away13 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.52 | +3.96 |
| M18 | Dundee · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +4.68 |
| M19 | Rangers · Away27 Dec 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.89 | +3.79 |
| M20 | Celtic · Home30 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.19 | +5.97 |
| M21 | St Mirren · Home3 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.25 | +7.23 |
| M22 | Hibernian · Away10 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | +7.17 |
| M23 | Kilmarnock · Home24 Jan 2026 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +8.06 |
| M24 | Livingston · Away31 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.21 | +9.27 |
| M25 | Rangers · Home11 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | +9.01 |
| M26 | Aberdeen · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +9.99 |
| M27 | St Mirren · Away21 Feb 2026 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +11.47 |
| M28 | Dundee United · Home28 Feb 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +12.20 |
| M29 | Dundee · Away7 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.80 | +10.40 |
| M30 | Celtic · Away14 Mar 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.85 | +9.55 |
| M31 | Hibernian · Home21 Mar 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.72 | +8.83 |
| M32 | Falkirk · Home4 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.73 | +7.10 |
| M33 | Hearts · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +6.07 |
| M34 | Rangers · Away26 Apr 2026 | W 3-2 | 3 | +2.21 | +8.28 |
| M35 | Falkirk · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.46 | +6.82 |
| M36 | Hearts · Home9 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +6.55 |
| M37 | Celtic · Home13 May 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.82 | +5.73 |
| M38 | Hibernian · Away16 May 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.87 | +7.60 |
| Total | 61 | +7.60 | |||