Points
72Points expected by the market
71.82Gap
+0.18Yield
−9.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 30 | +1.89 | −1.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 19 | 34 | −1.46 | −17.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.46 | −39.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 3 | 4 | +1.22 | +44.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 23 | +1.52 | −1.1% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 14 | −2.87 | −20.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 7 | +0.37 | −4.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 20 | +1.41 | −14.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 4 | −1.46 | −39.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.14 | +117.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Motherwell · Away2 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.09 | −1.09 |
| M2 | Dundee · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.63 | −2.72 |
| M3 | St Mirren · Away24 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.70 | −3.42 |
| M4 | Celtic · Home31 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.08 | −3.34 |
| M5 | Hearts · Home13 Sep 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −5.19 |
| M6 | Livingston · Away28 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.93 | −4.25 |
| M7 | Falkirk · Away5 Oct 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.96 | −5.21 |
| M8 | Dundee United · Home18 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.22 | −6.43 |
| M9 | Kilmarnock · Home26 Oct 2025 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.67 | −5.76 |
| M10 | Hibernian · Away29 Oct 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | −4.17 |
| M11 | Dundee · Away9 Nov 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | −3.35 |
| M12 | Livingston · Home22 Nov 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.62 | −2.73 |
| M13 | Falkirk · Home30 Nov 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.09 | −3.82 |
| M14 | Dundee United · Away3 Dec 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.68 | −4.49 |
| M15 | Kilmarnock · Away6 Dec 2025 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | −3.39 |
| M16 | Hibernian · Home15 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.35 | −2.05 |
| M17 | Hearts · Away21 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.11 | −3.16 |
| M18 | Motherwell · Home27 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | −2.01 |
| M19 | St Mirren · Home30 Dec 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | −1.04 |
| M20 | Celtic · Away3 Jan 2026 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.12 | +1.09 |
| M21 | Aberdeen · Home6 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.71 | +1.80 |
| M22 | Aberdeen · Away11 Jan 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.18 | +2.98 |
| M23 | Dundee · Home25 Jan 2026 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.63 | +3.60 |
| M24 | Hibernian · Away1 Feb 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | +2.89 |
| M25 | Kilmarnock · Home4 Feb 2026 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.57 | +3.46 |
| M26 | Motherwell · Away11 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | +3.00 |
| M27 | Hearts · Home15 Feb 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.23 | +4.24 |
| M28 | Livingston · Away22 Feb 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.33 | +2.91 |
| M29 | Celtic · Home1 Mar 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | +2.31 |
| M30 | St Mirren · Away15 Mar 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.88 | +3.19 |
| M31 | Aberdeen · Home21 Mar 2026 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.49 | +3.68 |
| M32 | Dundee United · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.67 | +4.35 |
| M33 | Falkirk · Away12 Apr 2026 | W 6-3 | 3 | +1.24 | +5.59 |
| M34 | Motherwell · Home26 Apr 2026 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.98 | +3.61 |
| M35 | Hearts · Away4 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.48 | +2.13 |
| M36 | Celtic · Away10 May 2026 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.98 | +1.15 |
| M37 | Hibernian · Home13 May 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.05 | −0.91 |
| M38 | Falkirk · Away16 May 2026 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.18 |
| Total | 72 | +0.18 | |||