Points
34Points expected by the market
48.62Gap
−14.62Yield
−42.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 16 | −5.28 | −40.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 9 | −8.07 | −52.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 9 | −1.27 | −34.4% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 15 | −3.05 | −28.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 1 | −4.51 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 5 | +0.66 | −18.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 1 | −2.23 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 8 | −3.57 | −31.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −1.93 | −44.1% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Celtic · Away3 Aug 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.27 | −0.27 |
| M2 | Motherwell · Home9 Aug 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.70 | −0.97 |
| M3 | Rangers · Home24 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.05 | −1.02 |
| M4 | Hibernian · Away31 Aug 2025 | D 1-1 | 1 | 0.00 | −1.02 |
| M5 | Falkirk · Away13 Sep 2025 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.80 | +0.78 |
| M6 | Dundee · Home27 Sep 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +1.76 |
| M7 | Kilmarnock · Away4 Oct 2025 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.39 | +0.36 |
| M8 | Aberdeen · Home18 Oct 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −1.11 |
| M9 | Dundee United · Away25 Oct 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.20 | −2.32 |
| M10 | Hearts · Home29 Oct 2025 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.02 | −2.34 |
| M11 | Hibernian · Home8 Nov 2025 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −3.68 |
| M12 | Celtic · Home22 Nov 2025 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.62 | −4.30 |
| M13 | Dundee · Away29 Nov 2025 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.61 | −5.91 |
| M14 | Aberdeen · Away3 Dec 2025 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.17 | −6.08 |
| M15 | Dundee United · Home6 Dec 2025 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −4.89 |
| M16 | Livingston · Home20 Dec 2025 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.21 | −3.68 |
| M17 | Kilmarnock · Home27 Dec 2025 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | −4.65 |
| M18 | Rangers · Away30 Dec 2025 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.74 | −5.39 |
| M19 | Motherwell · Away3 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −6.37 |
| M20 | Falkirk · Home10 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.61 | −7.98 |
| M21 | Hearts · Away14 Jan 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −8.60 |
| M22 | Livingston · Away20 Jan 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.43 | −9.04 |
| M23 | Dundee · Home31 Jan 2026 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.82 | −9.86 |
| M24 | Hearts · Home3 Feb 2026 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.02 | −7.84 |
| M25 | Kilmarnock · Away11 Feb 2026 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.50 | −9.34 |
| M26 | Hibernian · Away14 Feb 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.98 | −10.32 |
| M27 | Motherwell · Home21 Feb 2026 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.19 | −11.51 |
| M28 | Livingston · Away28 Feb 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.62 | −12.13 |
| M29 | Dundee United · Away3 Mar 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −13.41 |
| M30 | Rangers · Home15 Mar 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.67 | −14.07 |
| M31 | Falkirk · Away21 Mar 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.12 | −11.96 |
| M32 | Aberdeen · Home4 Apr 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.30 | −10.66 |
| M33 | Celtic · Away11 Apr 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.47 | −11.13 |
| M34 | Livingston · Home25 Apr 2026 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.94 | −13.07 |
| M35 | Dundee · Away2 May 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.20 | −14.27 |
| M36 | Kilmarnock · Home9 May 2026 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.67 | −15.94 |
| M37 | Aberdeen · Away12 May 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.82 | −14.12 |
| M38 | Dundee United · Home17 May 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.50 | −14.62 |
| Total | 34 | −14.62 | |||