Points
14Points expected by the market
9.78Gap
+4.22Yield
+29.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.80 | +13.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 7 | +3.42 | +45.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +2.02 | +42.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 1 | +0.41 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.22 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 6 | +3.01 | +82.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Celtic · Away3 Aug 2026 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.30 | −0.30 |
| M2 | Aberdeen · Home8 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +1.42 |
| M3 | Dundee United · Away22 Aug 2026 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.94 | +3.36 |
| M4 | Hibernian · Home30 Aug 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.13 | +2.23 |
| M5 | St Johnstone · Home2 Sep 2026 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | +1.89 |
| M6 | Hearts · Away6 Sep 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | +1.27 |
| M7 | Motherwell · Home19 Sep 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +3.03 |
| M8 | Falkirk · Away10 Oct 2026 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.00 | +5.03 |
| M9 | Rangers · Home17 Oct 2026 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.41 | +5.44 |
| M10 | St Mirren · Away24 Oct 2026 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.22 | +4.22 |
| Total | 14 | +4.22 | |||