← Segunda División 2019-20

Extremadura UD

Season 2019-20 · 42 matches played

Last 5LLWWL

Points

Points expected by the market

49.25

Gap

−6.25

Yield

−15.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	7	5.15	+1.85	+27.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	20	14	27.04	−13.04	−63.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	19	22	17.06	+4.94	+27.3%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	3	7	5.15	+1.85	+27.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	17	12	23.53	−11.53	−56.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	1	3	1.05	+1.95	+272.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	3	2	3.51	−1.51	−100.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	18	19	16.01	+2.99	+13.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Lugo · Away17 Aug 2019	17 Aug 2019	D 0-0	3.44	1.12	1	−0.12	−0.12	−€1.00
M2	Fuenlabrada · Home25 Aug 2019	25 Aug 2019	L 1-2	2.40	1.49	0	−1.49	−1.61	−€1.00
M3	Cádiz · Away1 Sep 2019	1 Sep 2019	L 1-2	5.57	0.78	0	−0.78	−2.39	−€1.00
M4	Numancia · Home7 Sep 2019	7 Sep 2019	D 0-0	2.28	1.55	1	−0.55	−2.94	−€1.00
M5	Zaragoza · Away15 Sep 2019	15 Sep 2019	L 1-3	6.31	0.68	0	−0.68	−3.63	−€1.00
M6	Real Oviedo · Away19 Sep 2019	19 Sep 2019	D 1-1	4.49	0.91	1	+0.09	−3.54	−€1.00
M7	Huesca · Home22 Sep 2019	22 Sep 2019	L 0-1	3.14	1.20	0	−1.20	−4.74	−€1.00
M8	Alcorcon · Away28 Sep 2019	28 Sep 2019	W 2-0	3.73	1.07	3	+1.93	−2.82	+€2.73
M9	Elche · Home1 Oct 2019	1 Oct 2019	W 2-0	2.40	1.49	3	+1.51	−1.30	+€1.40
M10	Tenerife · Away5 Oct 2019	5 Oct 2019	W 2-1	4.44	0.91	3	+2.09	+0.79	+€3.44
M11	Ponferradina · Home12 Oct 2019	12 Oct 2019	D 1-1	2.19	1.60	1	−0.60	+0.19	−€1.00
M12	Rayo Vallecano · Home19 Oct 2019	19 Oct 2019	L 0-3	2.98	1.25	0	−1.25	−1.06	−€1.00
M13	Almería · Away27 Oct 2019	27 Oct 2019	L 2-3	5.08	0.84	0	−0.84	−1.90	−€1.00
M14	Girona · Home3 Nov 2019	3 Nov 2019	L 1-3	3.07	1.22	0	−1.22	−3.12	−€1.00
M15	Mirandes · Away9 Nov 2019	9 Nov 2019	L 0-2	3.86	1.03	0	−1.03	−4.15	−€1.00
M16	Deportivo · Home16 Nov 2019	16 Nov 2019	W 2-0	2.59	1.41	3	+1.59	−2.56	+€1.59
M17	Racing de Santander · Away23 Nov 2019	23 Nov 2019	L 0-3	3.69	1.09	0	−1.09	−3.65	−€1.00
M18	Las Palmas · Home1 Dec 2019	1 Dec 2019	L 0-1	2.51	1.43	0	−1.43	−5.08	−€1.00
M19	Albacete · Away6 Dec 2019	6 Dec 2019	D 1-1	4.02	1.02	1	−0.02	−5.09	−€1.00
M20	Málaga · Home15 Dec 2019	15 Dec 2019	D 0-0	2.99	1.27	1	−0.27	−5.36	−€1.00
M21	Sporting de Gijón · Away21 Dec 2019	21 Dec 2019	W 1-0	5.32	0.81	3	+2.19	−3.17	+€4.32
M22	Alcorcon · Home3 Jan 2020	3 Jan 2020	D 0-0	2.40	1.51	1	−0.51	−3.68	−€1.00
M23	Girona · Away16 Jan 2020	16 Jan 2020	L 1-3	6.51	0.68	0	−0.68	−4.36	−€1.00
M24	Almería · Home19 Jan 2020	19 Jan 2020	L 1-2	2.97	1.26	0	−1.26	−5.62	−€1.00
M25	Rayo Vallecano · Away26 Jan 2020	26 Jan 2020	D 1-1	5.83	0.75	1	+0.25	−5.37	−€1.00
M26	Lugo · Home1 Feb 2020	1 Feb 2020	W 1-0	1.85	1.82	3	+1.18	−4.19	+€0.85
M27	Tenerife · Home8 Feb 2020	8 Feb 2020	L 2-4	2.38	1.51	0	−1.51	−5.69	−€1.00
M28	Ponferradina · Away16 Feb 2020	16 Feb 2020	D 0-0	4.66	0.91	1	+0.09	−5.60	−€1.00
M29	Mirandes · Home23 Feb 2020	23 Feb 2020	W 3-2	2.37	1.51	3	+1.49	−4.11	+€1.37
M30	Huesca · Away29 Feb 2020	29 Feb 2020	D 2-2	6.37	0.70	1	+0.30	−3.81	−€1.00
M31	Real Oviedo · Home7 Mar 2020	7 Mar 2020	L 1-2	2.66	1.38	0	−1.38	−5.19	−€1.00
M32	Elche · Away12 Jun 2020	12 Jun 2020	D 1-1	3.75	1.05	1	−0.05	−5.25	−€1.00
M33	Albacete · Home17 Jun 2020	17 Jun 2020	L 0-1	2.36	1.51	0	−1.51	−6.76	−€1.00
M34	Málaga · Away20 Jun 2020	20 Jun 2020	D 1-1	3.30	1.17	1	−0.17	−6.93	−€1.00
M35	Zaragoza · Home23 Jun 2020	23 Jun 2020	L 1-2	2.85	1.29	0	−1.29	−8.22	−€1.00
M36	Fuenlabrada · Away28 Jun 2020	28 Jun 2020	D 1-1	3.50	1.13	1	−0.13	−8.34	−€1.00
M37	Racing de Santander · Home1 Jul 2020	1 Jul 2020	W 3-1	1.96	1.74	3	+1.26	−7.08	+€0.96
M38	Numancia · Away4 Jul 2020	4 Jul 2020	L 0-1	3.13	1.22	0	−1.22	−8.30	−€1.00
M39	Cádiz · Home7 Jul 2020	7 Jul 2020	L 0-1	3.01	1.26	0	−1.26	−9.56	−€1.00
M40	Deportivo · Away12 Jul 2020	12 Jul 2020	W 3-2	6.97	0.64	3	+2.36	−7.20	+€5.97
M41	Sporting de Gijón · Home17 Jul 2020	17 Jul 2020	W 2-0	3.72	1.05	3	+1.95	−5.25	+€2.72
M42	Las Palmas · Away20 Jul 2020	20 Jul 2020	L 1-5	3.91	1.00	0	−1.00	−6.25	−€1.00
Total					49.25	43	−6.25		−€6.65