← Segunda División 2019-20

Rayo Vallecano

Season 2019-20 · 42 matches played

Last 5WWLDW

Points

Points expected by the market

66.88

Gap

−6.88

Yield

−33.3%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	2	6	4.28	+1.72	+46.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	20	30	36.89	−6.89	−35.1%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	19	21.59	−2.59	−51.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	5	4.11	+0.89	+9.7%
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.18	+0.82	+43.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	19	30	35.24	−5.24	−31.6%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	1	3	1.48	+1.52	+141.0%
Underdog 3.50 or more	0	—	—	—	—
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches	1	3	2.10	+0.90	+49.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	1	0	1.65	−1.65	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	15	16	20.11	−4.11	−64.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	4	5	4.11	+0.89	+9.7%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Mirandes · Home17 Aug 2019	17 Aug 2019	D 2-2	1.54	2.07	1	−1.07	−1.07	−€1.00
M2	Sporting de Gijón · Away25 Aug 2019	25 Aug 2019	D 1-1	3.58	1.08	1	−0.08	−1.15	−€1.00
M3	Deportivo · Home1 Sep 2019	1 Sep 2019	W 3-1	1.86	1.78	3	+1.22	+0.07	+€0.86
M4	Girona · Away8 Sep 2019	8 Sep 2019	L 1-3	3.82	1.02	0	−1.02	−0.96	−€1.00
M5	Racing de Santander · Home13 Sep 2019	13 Sep 2019	W 2-0	1.71	1.91	3	+1.09	+0.13	+€0.71
M6	Málaga · Away17 Sep 2019	17 Sep 2019	D 1-1	3.06	1.22	1	−0.22	−0.08	−€1.00
M7	Almería · Home21 Sep 2019	21 Sep 2019	D 1-1	2.07	1.64	1	−0.64	−0.73	−€1.00
M8	Fuenlabrada · Away28 Sep 2019	28 Sep 2019	D 2-2	2.45	1.45	1	−0.45	−1.18	−€1.00
M9	Alcorcon · Home1 Oct 2019	1 Oct 2019	D 1-1	1.56	2.04	1	−1.04	−2.22	−€1.00
M10	Elche · Away5 Oct 2019	5 Oct 2019	D 1-1	2.55	1.41	1	−0.41	−2.63	−€1.00
M11	Tenerife · Home11 Oct 2019	11 Oct 2019	W 2-1	1.79	1.83	3	+1.17	−1.46	+€0.79
M12	Extremadura UD · Away19 Oct 2019	19 Oct 2019	W 3-0	2.46	1.45	3	+1.55	+0.09	+€1.46
M13	Ponferradina · Home26 Oct 2019	26 Oct 2019	L 1-3	1.58	2.02	0	−2.02	−1.93	−€1.00
M14	Lugo · Away3 Nov 2019	3 Nov 2019	L 0-1	2.07	1.65	0	−1.65	−3.59	−€1.00
M15	Cádiz · Home10 Nov 2019	10 Nov 2019	D 1-1	1.92	1.76	1	−0.76	−4.35	−€1.00
M16	Numancia · Away16 Nov 2019	16 Nov 2019	D 2-2	2.85	1.29	1	−0.29	−4.64	−€1.00
M17	Zaragoza · Home23 Nov 2019	23 Nov 2019	L 0-1	1.68	1.92	0	−1.92	−6.56	−€1.00
M18	Real Oviedo · Away1 Dec 2019	1 Dec 2019	L 1-2	2.72	1.35	0	−1.35	−7.91	−€1.00
M19	Huesca · Away7 Dec 2019	7 Dec 2019	W 2-0	4.39	0.91	3	+2.09	−5.82	+€3.39
M20	Las Palmas · Away21 Dec 2019	21 Dec 2019	D 1-1	3.34	1.13	1	−0.13	−5.95	−€1.00
M21	Girona · Home5 Jan 2020	5 Jan 2020	W 1-0	2.15	1.59	3	+1.41	−4.54	+€1.15
M22	Lugo · Home15 Jan 2020	15 Jan 2020	W 1-0	1.43	2.18	3	+0.82	−3.72	+€0.43
M23	Ponferradina · Away18 Jan 2020	18 Jan 2020	D 1-1	2.67	1.37	1	−0.37	−4.09	−€1.00
M24	Extremadura UD · Home26 Jan 2020	26 Jan 2020	D 1-1	1.63	1.99	1	−0.99	−5.07	−€1.00
M25	Mirandes · Away2 Feb 2020	2 Feb 2020	D 0-0	2.87	1.29	1	−0.29	−5.36	−€1.00
M26	Real Oviedo · Home9 Feb 2020	9 Feb 2020	D 1-1	1.91	1.76	1	−0.76	−6.13	−€1.00
M27	Tenerife · Away16 Feb 2020	16 Feb 2020	D 0-0	3.61	1.10	1	−0.10	−6.23	−€1.00
M28	Huesca · Home23 Feb 2020	23 Feb 2020	W 2-0	2.41	1.48	3	+1.52	−4.71	+€1.41
M29	Albacete · Away29 Feb 2020	29 Feb 2020	D 1-1	2.71	1.37	1	−0.37	−5.09	−€1.00
M30	Elche · Home8 Mar 2020	8 Mar 2020	L 2-3	1.86	1.80	0	−1.80	−6.89	−€1.00
M31	Albacete · Home10 Jun 2020	10 Jun 2020	W 1-0	1.68	1.94	3	+1.06	−5.82	+€0.68
M32	Cádiz · Away14 Jun 2020	14 Jun 2020	D 1-1	3.24	1.19	1	−0.19	−6.01	−€1.00
M33	Fuenlabrada · Home17 Jun 2020	17 Jun 2020	W 1-0	2.10	1.65	3	+1.35	−4.66	+€1.10
M34	Deportivo · Away20 Jun 2020	20 Jun 2020	D 3-3	2.52	1.44	1	−0.44	−5.10	−€1.00
M35	Sporting de Gijón · Home25 Jun 2020	25 Jun 2020	D 1-1	2.12	1.64	1	−0.64	−5.74	−€1.00
M36	Alcorcon · Away29 Jun 2020	29 Jun 2020	L 2-3	2.52	1.44	0	−1.44	−7.19	−€1.00
M37	Málaga · Home2 Jul 2020	2 Jul 2020	D 0-0	1.72	1.91	1	−0.91	−8.10	−€1.00
M38	Zaragoza · Away6 Jul 2020	6 Jul 2020	W 4-2	2.85	1.28	3	+1.72	−6.38	+€1.85
M39	Numancia · Home9 Jul 2020	9 Jul 2020	W 3-2	1.70	1.92	3	+1.08	−5.30	+€0.70
M40	Almería · Away13 Jul 2020	13 Jul 2020	L 2-3	2.50	1.43	0	−1.43	−6.73	−€1.00
M41	Las Palmas · Home17 Jul 2020	17 Jul 2020	D 2-2	1.56	2.05	1	−1.05	−7.78	−€1.00
M42	Racing de Santander · Away20 Jul 2020	20 Jul 2020	W 2-1	1.49	2.10	3	+0.90	−6.88	+€0.49
Total					66.88	60	−6.88		−€13.98