← Segunda División 2020-21

Castellon

Season 2020-21 · 42 matches played

Last 5LLLLL

Points

Points expected by the market

46.15

Gap

−5.15

Yield

−15.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	0	3.35	−3.35	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	18	30	23.43	+6.57	+46.6%
Underdog 3.50 or more	22	11	19.37	−8.37	−58.9%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches	2	0	3.35	−3.35	−100.0%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	14	22	18.59	+3.41	+41.2%
Underdog 3.50 or more	5	6	4.71	+1.29	+80.8%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	8	4.83	+3.17	+65.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	17	5	14.66	−9.66	−100.0%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Ponferradina · Away12 Sep 2020	12 Sep 2020	W 2-1	3.16	1.21	3	+1.79	+1.79	+€2.16
M2	Málaga · Home19 Sep 2020	19 Sep 2020	L 0-1	2.48	1.48	0	−1.48	+0.31	−€1.00
M3	Logrones · Away26 Sep 2020	26 Sep 2020	D 1-1	3.12	1.23	1	−0.23	+0.08	−€1.00
M4	Leganés · Home4 Oct 2020	4 Oct 2020	W 2-0	3.13	1.22	3	+1.78	+1.86	+€2.13
M5	Fuenlabrada · Away11 Oct 2020	11 Oct 2020	D 1-1	4.83	0.89	1	+0.11	+1.97	−€1.00
M6	Lugo · Home17 Oct 2020	17 Oct 2020	L 0-1	2.16	1.63	0	−1.63	+0.34	−€1.00
M7	Las Palmas · Away21 Oct 2020	21 Oct 2020	L 1-2	3.60	1.11	0	−1.11	−0.78	−€1.00
M8	Girona · Home24 Oct 2020	24 Oct 2020	L 0-1	2.94	1.30	0	−1.30	−2.08	−€1.00
M9	Almería · Home28 Oct 2020	28 Oct 2020	L 1-2	3.03	1.27	0	−1.27	−3.35	−€1.00
M10	Sporting de Gijón · Away2 Nov 2020	2 Nov 2020	L 0-1	5.39	0.81	0	−0.81	−4.17	−€1.00
M11	Real Oviedo · Away8 Nov 2020	8 Nov 2020	L 0-4	4.22	0.98	0	−0.98	−5.14	−€1.00
M12	Cartagena · Home15 Nov 2020	15 Nov 2020	W 2-1	2.86	1.30	3	+1.70	−3.45	+€1.86
M13	Rayo Vallecano · Away21 Nov 2020	21 Nov 2020	L 1-2	5.71	0.76	0	−0.76	−4.20	−€1.00
M14	Alcorcon · Home24 Nov 2020	24 Nov 2020	L 0-2	2.72	1.38	0	−1.38	−5.59	−€1.00
M15	Mirandes · Away28 Nov 2020	28 Nov 2020	D 1-1	4.18	0.98	1	+0.02	−5.57	−€1.00
M16	Zaragoza · Home2 Dec 2020	2 Dec 2020	W 1-0	2.78	1.34	3	+1.66	−3.91	+€1.78
M17	Mallorca · Away7 Dec 2020	7 Dec 2020	L 1-3	5.49	0.79	0	−0.79	−4.70	−€1.00
M18	Albacete · Home12 Dec 2020	12 Dec 2020	W 3-0	2.32	1.54	3	+1.46	−3.24	+€1.32
M19	Sabadell · Away19 Dec 2020	19 Dec 2020	D 1-1	3.04	1.25	1	−0.25	−3.49	−€1.00
M20	Tenerife · Home3 Jan 2021	3 Jan 2021	L 0-1	3.03	1.26	0	−1.26	−4.75	−€1.00
M21	Espanyol · Away10 Jan 2021	10 Jan 2021	L 0-2	7.24	0.63	0	−0.63	−5.39	−€1.00
M22	Sporting de Gijón · Home24 Jan 2021	24 Jan 2021	W 2-0	3.40	1.17	3	+1.83	−3.56	+€2.40
M23	Almería · Away30 Jan 2021	30 Jan 2021	L 1-3	5.86	0.75	0	−0.75	−4.31	−€1.00
M24	Mirandes · Home7 Feb 2021	7 Feb 2021	L 0-1	3.55	1.11	0	−1.11	−5.42	−€1.00
M25	Fuenlabrada · Home15 Feb 2021	15 Feb 2021	L 1-2	3.21	1.20	0	−1.20	−6.62	−€1.00
M26	Girona · Away21 Feb 2021	21 Feb 2021	L 1-2	5.19	0.82	0	−0.82	−7.44	−€1.00
M27	Las Palmas · Home27 Feb 2021	27 Feb 2021	W 4-0	2.70	1.37	3	+1.63	−5.81	+€1.70
M28	Leganés · Away6 Mar 2021	6 Mar 2021	D 0-0	6.55	0.69	1	+0.31	−5.50	−€1.00
M29	Sabadell · Home13 Mar 2021	13 Mar 2021	W 2-1	2.58	1.42	3	+1.58	−3.91	+€1.58
M30	Lugo · Away21 Mar 2021	21 Mar 2021	D 0-0	3.89	1.05	1	−0.05	−3.96	−€1.00
M31	Espanyol · Home26 Mar 2021	26 Mar 2021	L 1-3	5.76	0.76	0	−0.76	−4.72	−€1.00
M32	Albacete · Away31 Mar 2021	31 Mar 2021	W 1-0	3.46	1.15	3	+1.85	−2.86	+€2.46
M33	Real Oviedo · Home3 Apr 2021	3 Apr 2021	W 1-0	4.14	1.00	3	+2.00	−0.86	+€3.14
M34	Alcorcon · Away12 Apr 2021	12 Apr 2021	L 1-2	4.48	0.95	0	−0.95	−1.81	−€1.00
M35	Mallorca · Home17 Apr 2021	17 Apr 2021	W 1-0	4.90	0.87	3	+2.13	+0.32	+€3.90
M36	Tenerife · Away25 Apr 2021	25 Apr 2021	D 1-1	5.57	0.80	1	+0.20	+0.52	−€1.00
M37	Logrones · Home2 May 2021	2 May 2021	D 0-0	2.90	1.32	1	−0.32	+0.20	−€1.00
M38	Cartagena · Away9 May 2021	9 May 2021	L 0-1	4.63	0.90	0	−0.90	−0.70	−€1.00
M39	Ponferradina · Home15 May 2021	15 May 2021	L 0-2	1.98	1.72	0	−1.72	−2.42	−€1.00
M40	Zaragoza · Away20 May 2021	20 May 2021	L 0-3	4.23	0.98	0	−0.98	−3.40	−€1.00
M41	Rayo Vallecano · Home24 May 2021	24 May 2021	L 0-2	4.13	0.97	0	−0.97	−4.36	−€1.00
M42	Málaga · Away30 May 2021	30 May 2021	L 0-3	5.42	0.78	0	−0.78	−5.15	−€1.00
Total					46.15	41	−5.15		−€6.57