← Segunda División 2025-26

Ceuta

Season 2025-26 · 42 matches played

Last 5WDLWW

Points

Points expected by the market

48.62

Gap

+12.38

Yield

+20.6%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds band	Matches playedMP	PointsPts	Expected	Gap	Yield
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	16	10.20	+5.80	+63.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	16	31	21.05	+9.95	+71.7%
Underdog 3.50 or more	20	14	17.38	−3.38	−33.1%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	6	16	10.20	+5.80	+63.5%
Even 2.20 – 3.49	12	22	16.20	+5.80	+56.1%
Underdog 3.50 or more few matches	3	2	2.62	−0.62	−100.0%
Heavy favourite under 1.50	0	—	—	—	—
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19	0	—	—	—	—
Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches	4	9	4.85	+4.15	+118.5%
Underdog 3.50 or more	17	12	14.76	−2.76	−21.2%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

M	Opponent	Date	ResultRes.	Odds to win	Expected	PointsPts	Gap	Running total	€1 bet
M1	Real Valladolid · Away15 Aug 2025	15 Aug 2025	L 0-3	3.94	0.98	0	−0.98	−0.98	−€1.00
M2	Sporting de Gijón · Home23 Aug 2025	23 Aug 2025	L 0-1	2.61	1.38	0	−1.38	−2.36	−€1.00
M3	Racing de Santander · Away30 Aug 2025	30 Aug 2025	L 1-4	5.60	0.73	0	−0.73	−3.09	−€1.00
M4	Huesca · Home7 Sep 2025	7 Sep 2025	W 2-1	2.71	1.34	3	+1.66	−1.43	+€1.71
M5	Castellon · Away14 Sep 2025	14 Sep 2025	D 3-3	5.50	0.72	1	+0.28	−1.15	−€1.00
M6	Zaragoza · Home21 Sep 2025	21 Sep 2025	W 1-0	2.02	1.64	3	+1.36	+0.21	+€1.02
M7	Cádiz · Away28 Sep 2025	28 Sep 2025	D 0-0	3.53	1.07	1	−0.07	+0.14	−€1.00
M8	Eibar · Home3 Oct 2025	3 Oct 2025	W 1-0	2.83	1.28	3	+1.72	+1.86	+€1.83
M9	Albacete · Away12 Oct 2025	12 Oct 2025	D 0-0	3.62	1.03	1	−0.03	+1.83	−€1.00
M10	Mirandes · Home18 Oct 2025	18 Oct 2025	W 2-0	1.80	1.81	3	+1.19	+3.02	+€0.80
M11	Cultural Leonesa · Away25 Oct 2025	25 Oct 2025	W 1-0	2.99	1.22	3	+1.78	+4.81	+€1.99
M12	Cordoba · Away2 Nov 2025	2 Nov 2025	L 0-2	3.96	0.97	0	−0.97	+3.83	−€1.00
M13	Leganés · Home16 Nov 2025	16 Nov 2025	L 1-2	2.50	1.42	0	−1.42	+2.41	−€1.00
M14	Deportivo · Away23 Nov 2025	23 Nov 2025	L 1-2	4.62	0.85	0	−0.85	+1.56	−€1.00
M15	Almería · Home26 Nov 2025	26 Nov 2025	W 3-2	3.06	1.18	3	+1.82	+3.37	+€2.06
M16	Burgos · Home29 Nov 2025	29 Nov 2025	W 1-0	2.26	1.54	3	+1.46	+4.83	+€1.26
M17	Granada · Away7 Dec 2025	7 Dec 2025	D 1-1	3.69	1.03	1	−0.03	+4.80	−€1.00
M18	Las Palmas · Home14 Dec 2025	14 Dec 2025	D 1-1	2.76	1.32	1	−0.32	+4.48	−€1.00
M19	Real Sociedad B · Away21 Dec 2025	21 Dec 2025	W 3-1	2.59	1.37	3	+1.63	+6.11	+€1.59
M20	Andorra · Home4 Jan 2026	4 Jan 2026	W 2-1	1.97	1.67	3	+1.33	+7.44	+€0.97
M21	Málaga · Away11 Jan 2026	11 Jan 2026	L 1-2	3.48	1.08	0	−1.08	+6.36	−€1.00
M22	Real Valladolid · Home17 Jan 2026	17 Jan 2026	L 0-3	2.46	1.43	0	−1.43	+4.93	−€1.00
M23	Cultural Leonesa · Home26 Jan 2026	26 Jan 2026	W 3-1	2.08	1.61	3	+1.39	+6.32	+€1.08
M24	Almería · Away1 Feb 2026	1 Feb 2026	L 2-4	4.29	0.90	0	−0.90	+5.42	−€1.00
M25	Huesca · Away15 Feb 2026	15 Feb 2026	L 0-2	3.50	1.09	0	−1.09	+4.33	−€1.00
M26	Granada · Home20 Feb 2026	20 Feb 2026	W 2-1	2.51	1.41	3	+1.59	+5.92	+€1.51
M27	Cordoba · Home25 Feb 2026	25 Feb 2026	W 3-2	2.80	1.27	3	+1.73	+7.66	+€1.80
M28	Mirandes · Away1 Mar 2026	1 Mar 2026	W 1-0	3.16	1.18	3	+1.82	+9.48	+€2.16
M29	Las Palmas · Away8 Mar 2026	8 Mar 2026	L 0-4	5.34	0.77	0	−0.77	+8.71	−€1.00
M30	Deportivo · Home14 Mar 2026	14 Mar 2026	L 1-2	2.76	1.30	0	−1.30	+7.41	−€1.00
M31	Leganés · Away21 Mar 2026	21 Mar 2026	L 2-5	4.15	0.94	0	−0.94	+6.48	−€1.00
M32	Cádiz · Home28 Mar 2026	28 Mar 2026	W 2-1	1.94	1.69	3	+1.31	+7.78	+€0.94
M33	Burgos · Away1 Apr 2026	1 Apr 2026	D 1-1	4.26	0.95	1	+0.05	+7.84	−€1.00
M34	Eibar · Away5 Apr 2026	5 Apr 2026	L 0-3	5.95	0.70	0	−0.70	+7.14	−€1.00
M35	Real Sociedad B · Home10 Apr 2026	10 Apr 2026	D 0-0	1.81	1.77	1	−0.77	+6.37	−€1.00
M36	Zaragoza · Away18 Apr 2026	18 Apr 2026	D 2-2	5.07	0.79	1	+0.21	+6.58	−€1.00
M37	Racing de Santander · Home26 Apr 2026	26 Apr 2026	D 0-0	3.69	0.98	1	+0.02	+6.59	−€1.00
M38	Sporting de Gijón · Away3 May 2026	3 May 2026	W 2-1	5.70	0.70	3	+2.30	+8.90	+€4.70
M39	Castellon · Home9 May 2026	9 May 2026	D 1-1	5.32	0.72	1	+0.28	+9.18	−€1.00
M40	Málaga · Home16 May 2026	16 May 2026	L 1-4	4.02	0.92	0	−0.92	+8.26	−€1.00
M41	Andorra · Away24 May 2026	24 May 2026	W 2-0	7.69	0.53	3	+2.47	+10.73	+€6.69
M42	Albacete · Home30 May 2026	30 May 2026	W 1-0	2.56	1.34	3	+1.66	+12.38	+€1.56
Total					48.62	61	+12.38		+€8.67