← Segunda División 2025-26

Real Valladolid

Season 2025-26 · 42 matches played

Last 5LWLLL

Points

46

Points expected by the market

60.42

Gap

−14.42

Yield

−37.8%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35M40

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches 3 3 6.24 −3.24 −50.3%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 14 25 24.69 +0.31 −7.4%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 16 13 21.38 −8.38 −49.8%
Underdog 3.50 or more 9 5 8.11 −3.11 −59.9%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Ceuta · Home15 Aug 2025 15 Aug 2025 W 3-0 1.90 1.73 3 +1.27 +1.27 +€0.90
M2 Castellon · Away22 Aug 2025 22 Aug 2025 W 1-0 3.61 1.01 3 +1.99 +3.26 +€2.61
M3 Cordoba · Home30 Aug 2025 30 Aug 2025 D 0-0 1.88 1.74 1 −0.74 +2.52 −€1.00
M4 Zaragoza · Away6 Sep 2025 6 Sep 2025 D 1-1 2.68 1.33 1 −0.33 +2.19 −€1.00
M5 Almería · Home13 Sep 2025 13 Sep 2025 W 3-1 2.05 1.62 3 +1.38 +3.57 +€1.05
M6 Albacete · Away21 Sep 2025 21 Sep 2025 L 0-2 2.49 1.39 0 −1.39 +2.17 −€1.00
M7 Cultural Leonesa · Home28 Sep 2025 28 Sep 2025 L 0-1 1.48 2.09 0 −2.09 +0.08 −€1.00
M8 Mirandes · Home5 Oct 2025 5 Oct 2025 D 1-1 1.55 2.02 1 −1.02 −0.94 −€1.00
M9 Burgos · Away12 Oct 2025 12 Oct 2025 W 1-0 2.71 1.33 3 +1.67 +0.73 +€1.71
M10 Sporting de Gijón · Home19 Oct 2025 19 Oct 2025 L 2-3 2.12 1.59 0 −1.59 −0.87 −€1.00
M11 Deportivo · Away26 Oct 2025 26 Oct 2025 D 1-1 3.64 1.03 1 −0.03 −0.90 −€1.00
M12 Granada · Home3 Nov 2025 3 Nov 2025 W 2-1 1.91 1.73 3 +1.27 +0.38 +€0.91
M13 Cádiz · Away9 Nov 2025 9 Nov 2025 D 0-0 2.41 1.45 1 −0.45 −0.07 −€1.00
M14 Las Palmas · Home14 Nov 2025 14 Nov 2025 L 0-1 2.41 1.46 0 −1.46 −1.53 −€1.00
M15 Real Sociedad B · Away24 Nov 2025 24 Nov 2025 L 0-1 2.04 1.64 0 −1.64 −3.17 −€1.00
M16 Málaga · Home29 Nov 2025 29 Nov 2025 D 1-1 1.66 1.92 1 −0.92 −4.09 −€1.00
M17 Huesca · Away6 Dec 2025 6 Dec 2025 W 4-1 2.45 1.45 3 +1.55 −2.54 +€1.45
M18 Andorra · Home13 Dec 2025 13 Dec 2025 L 0-1 1.49 2.07 0 −2.07 −4.61 −€1.00
M19 Eibar · Away19 Dec 2025 19 Dec 2025 L 0-3 3.27 1.16 0 −1.16 −5.78 −€1.00
M20 Racing de Santander · Home3 Jan 2026 3 Jan 2026 D 1-1 1.94 1.68 1 −0.68 −6.46 −€1.00
M21 Leganés · Away11 Jan 2026 11 Jan 2026 L 0-3 3.42 1.12 0 −1.12 −7.57 −€1.00
M22 Ceuta · Away17 Jan 2026 17 Jan 2026 W 3-0 2.88 1.26 3 +1.74 −5.84 +€1.88
M23 Albacete · Home24 Jan 2026 24 Jan 2026 L 0-1 1.93 1.72 0 −1.72 −7.56 −€1.00
M24 Cordoba · Away31 Jan 2026 31 Jan 2026 L 1-3 3.97 0.97 0 −0.97 −8.53 −€1.00
M25 Castellon · Home8 Feb 2026 8 Feb 2026 L 0-4 3.04 1.19 0 −1.19 −9.72 −€1.00
M26 Granada · Away14 Feb 2026 14 Feb 2026 L 1-5 3.74 1.04 0 −1.04 −10.76 −€1.00
M27 Sporting de Gijón · Away22 Feb 2026 22 Feb 2026 D 2-2 3.66 1.04 1 −0.04 −10.81 −€1.00
M28 Huesca · Home28 Feb 2026 28 Feb 2026 W 1-0 1.77 1.83 3 +1.17 −9.64 +€0.77
M29 Málaga · Away7 Mar 2026 7 Mar 2026 D 3-3 3.37 1.11 1 −0.11 −9.75 −€1.00
M30 Leganés · Home14 Mar 2026 14 Mar 2026 W 3-2 1.98 1.67 3 +1.33 −8.42 +€0.98
M31 Mirandes · Away22 Mar 2026 22 Mar 2026 L 1-2 2.30 1.49 0 −1.49 −9.91 −€1.00
M32 Burgos · Home28 Mar 2026 28 Mar 2026 L 0-1 2.23 1.54 0 −1.54 −11.45 −€1.00
M33 Cádiz · Home31 Mar 2026 31 Mar 2026 W 3-0 1.49 2.08 3 +0.92 −10.53 +€0.49
M34 Cultural Leonesa · Away4 Apr 2026 4 Apr 2026 L 0-1 2.43 1.42 0 −1.42 −11.95 −€1.00
M35 Eibar · Home13 Apr 2026 13 Apr 2026 D 0-0 2.31 1.51 1 −0.51 −12.46 −€1.00
M36 Andorra · Away19 Apr 2026 19 Apr 2026 L 0-1 3.13 1.16 0 −1.16 −13.62 −€1.00
M37 Real Sociedad B · Home25 Apr 2026 25 Apr 2026 W 1-0 1.52 2.03 3 +0.97 −12.65 +€0.52
M38 Las Palmas · Away3 May 2026 3 May 2026 L 1-2 5.21 0.77 0 −0.77 −13.42 −€1.00
M39 Zaragoza · Home9 May 2026 9 May 2026 W 2-0 1.84 1.76 3 +1.24 −12.18 +€0.84
M40 Racing de Santander · Away16 May 2026 16 May 2026 L 1-4 6.52 0.61 0 −0.61 −12.79 −€1.00
M41 Deportivo · Home24 May 2026 24 May 2026 L 0-2 3.66 1.03 0 −1.03 −13.82 −€1.00
M42 Almería · Away31 May 2026 31 May 2026 L 0-1 6.72 0.60 0 −0.60 −14.42 −€1.00
Total 60.42 46 −14.42 −€15.89