Points
25Points expected by the market
32.80Gap
−7.80Yield
−45.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.65 | +102.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 6 | −1.57 | −45.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 30 | 13 | −8.88 | −55.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.65 | +102.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 2 | −3.27 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 6 | −4.70 | −66.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 4 | +1.70 | +62.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 7 | −4.18 | −47.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Cagliari · Away25 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.11 | +2.11 |
| M2 | Milan · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.68 | +1.43 |
| M3 | Bologna · Home15 Sep 2019 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.07 | +0.37 |
| M4 | Udinese · Away21 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.07 | +2.43 |
| M5 | Juventus · Home24 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.61 | +1.82 |
| M6 | Napoli · Away29 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.35 | +1.47 |
| M7 | Fiorentina · Home21 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.13 | +1.60 |
| M8 | Genoa · Away26 Oct 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.03 | +0.57 |
| M9 | Inter · Home29 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.54 | +0.03 |
| M10 | Verona · Away3 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.08 | −1.05 |
| M11 | Torino · Home9 Nov 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −1.30 | −2.35 |
| M12 | Roma · Away24 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.49 | −2.84 |
| M13 | Atalanta · Home30 Nov 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −3.47 |
| M14 | Spal · Away8 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −1.65 |
| M15 | Lecce · Home14 Dec 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −0.38 |
| M16 | Sassuolo · Home18 Dec 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.79 |
| M17 | Parma · Away22 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | −1.92 |
| M18 | Lazio · Home5 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.86 | −2.78 |
| M19 | Sampdoria · Away12 Jan 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.08 | −3.86 |
| M20 | Cagliari · Home19 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.33 | −4.19 |
| M21 | Milan · Home24 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.79 | −4.98 |
| M22 | Bologna · Away1 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −5.77 |
| M23 | Udinese · Home9 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | −6.00 |
| M24 | Juventus · Away16 Feb 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.32 | −6.32 |
| M25 | Napoli · Home21 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −7.05 |
| M26 | Sassuolo · Away9 Mar 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −7.74 |
| M27 | Fiorentina · Away22 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.51 | −7.23 |
| M28 | Genoa · Home27 Jun 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.09 | −7.31 |
| M29 | Inter · Away1 Jul 2020 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.35 | −7.67 |
| M30 | Verona · Home5 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.08 | −5.59 |
| M31 | Torino · Away8 Jul 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −6.33 |
| M32 | Roma · Home11 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.71 | −7.03 |
| M33 | Atalanta · Away14 Jul 2020 | L 2-6 | 0 | −0.26 | −7.29 |
| M34 | Spal · Home19 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.39 | −5.91 |
| M35 | Lecce · Away22 Jul 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −6.73 |
| M36 | Parma · Home25 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | −7.58 |
| M37 | Lazio · Away29 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.20 | −7.79 |
| M38 | Sampdoria · Home1 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.01 | −7.80 |
| Total | 25 | −7.80 | |||