Points
45Points expected by the market
40.96Gap
+4.04Yield
+36.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 9 | −1.32 | −31.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 18 | +1.21 | +6.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 19 | 18 | +4.15 | +77.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 8 | −0.74 | −17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 13 | +2.51 | +36.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 4 | −1.01 | +4.8% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.58 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 5 | −1.30 | −41.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 14 | +5.16 | +111.5% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Brescia · Home25 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.84 | −1.84 |
| M2 | Inter · Home1 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.73 | −2.58 |
| M3 | Parma · Away15 Sep 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.92 | −0.65 |
| M4 | Genoa · Home20 Sep 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +1.09 |
| M5 | Napoli · Away25 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.68 | +3.78 |
| M6 | Verona · Home29 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.59 | +3.18 |
| M7 | Roma · Away6 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.46 | +3.65 |
| M8 | Spal · Home20 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.34 | +4.99 |
| M9 | Torino · Away27 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.13 | +5.12 |
| M10 | Bologna · Home30 Oct 2019 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.62 | +6.74 |
| M11 | Atalanta · Away3 Nov 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.52 | +9.26 |
| M12 | Fiorentina · Home10 Nov 2019 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.70 | +10.96 |
| M13 | Lecce · Away25 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.58 | +10.39 |
| M14 | Sampdoria · Home2 Dec 2019 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.30 | +11.69 |
| M15 | Sassuolo · Away8 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.31 | +11.38 |
| M16 | Lazio · Home16 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.85 | +10.53 |
| M17 | Udinese · Away21 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | +9.42 |
| M18 | Juventus · Away6 Jan 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.41 | +9.00 |
| M19 | Milan · Home11 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.18 | +7.82 |
| M20 | Brescia · Away19 Jan 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.39 | +7.43 |
| M21 | Inter · Away26 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.53 | +7.96 |
| M22 | Parma · Home1 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.87 | +7.09 |
| M23 | Genoa · Away9 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | +5.88 |
| M24 | Napoli · Home16 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.96 | +4.92 |
| M25 | Roma · Home1 Mar 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.15 | +3.76 |
| M26 | Verona · Away20 Jun 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | +2.80 |
| M27 | Spal · Away23 Jun 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.72 | +4.53 |
| M28 | Torino · Home27 Jun 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.52 | +6.05 |
| M29 | Bologna · Away1 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.06 | +5.99 |
| M30 | Atalanta · Home5 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.76 | +5.23 |
| M31 | Fiorentina · Away8 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | +5.38 |
| M32 | Lecce · Home12 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | +4.71 |
| M33 | Sampdoria · Away15 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.90 | +3.81 |
| M34 | Sassuolo · Home18 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | +3.77 |
| M35 | Lazio · Away23 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.49 | +3.28 |
| M36 | Udinese · Home26 Jul 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.16 | +2.13 |
| M37 | Juventus · Home29 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.34 | +4.46 |
| M38 | Milan · Away1 Aug 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.42 | +4.04 |
| Total | 45 | +4.04 | |||