Points
49Points expected by the market
55.41Gap
−6.41Yield
−25.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 4 | −2.68 | −52.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 13 | 23 | −1.05 | −17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 16 | −1.37 | −18.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −1.31 | −39.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 1 | −3.47 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 19 | +0.02 | −14.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 1 | −2.89 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 4 | 2 | −1.89 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 3 | +0.79 | +42.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 4 | −1.07 | −28.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 10 | 15 | +1.52 | +6.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 4 | +0.59 | +9.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Napoli · Home24 Aug 2019 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.92 | −0.92 |
| M2 | Genoa · Away1 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.41 | −2.34 |
| M3 | Juventus · Home14 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.11 | −2.23 |
| M4 | Atalanta · Away22 Sep 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.14 | −2.37 |
| M5 | Sampdoria · Home25 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.98 | −1.39 |
| M6 | Milan · Away29 Sep 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +0.39 |
| M7 | Udinese · Home6 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +1.29 |
| M8 | Brescia · Away21 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.88 | +0.41 |
| M9 | Lazio · Home27 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −1.00 |
| M10 | Sassuolo · Away30 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.47 | +0.47 |
| M11 | Parma · Home3 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.03 | −0.57 |
| M12 | Cagliari · Away10 Nov 2019 | L 2-5 | 0 | −1.41 | −1.98 |
| M13 | Verona · Away24 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −3.57 |
| M14 | Lecce · Home30 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.14 | −5.72 |
| M15 | Torino · Away8 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.25 | −6.96 |
| M16 | Inter · Home15 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | −7.04 |
| M17 | Roma · Home20 Dec 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.12 | −8.17 |
| M18 | Bologna · Away6 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.34 | −8.50 |
| M19 | Spal · Home12 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.94 | −7.56 |
| M20 | Napoli · Away18 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.25 | −5.31 |
| M21 | Genoa · Home25 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.89 | −6.20 |
| M22 | Juventus · Away2 Feb 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −6.68 |
| M23 | Atalanta · Home8 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −7.67 |
| M24 | Sampdoria · Away16 Feb 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.64 | −6.03 |
| M25 | Milan · Home22 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.35 | −6.38 |
| M26 | Udinese · Away8 Mar 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.38 | −6.75 |
| M27 | Brescia · Home22 Jun 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.32 | −8.08 |
| M28 | Lazio · Away27 Jun 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −8.95 |
| M29 | Sassuolo · Home1 Jul 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.86 | −10.81 |
| M30 | Parma · Away5 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −9.26 |
| M31 | Cagliari · Home8 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.90 | −10.17 |
| M32 | Verona · Home12 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | −10.81 |
| M33 | Lecce · Away15 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −9.40 |
| M34 | Torino · Home19 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −8.17 |
| M35 | Inter · Away22 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.38 | −7.79 |
| M36 | Roma · Away26 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −8.48 |
| M37 | Bologna · Home29 Jul 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −7.20 |
| M38 | Spal · Away2 Aug 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.79 | −6.41 |
| Total | 49 | −6.41 | |||