Points
39Points expected by the market
43.70Gap
−4.70Yield
−25.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.33 | +22.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 16 | 15 | −6.75 | −36.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 11 | −0.28 | −31.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +2.96 | +47.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.63 | −18.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 0 | −3.69 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.63 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.12 | −60.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 11 | +3.41 | +0.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Roma · Away25 Aug 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.20 | +0.20 |
| M2 | Fiorentina · Home1 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.69 | +1.89 |
| M3 | Atalanta · Home15 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.10 | +0.79 |
| M4 | Cagliari · Away20 Sep 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.46 | −0.67 |
| M5 | Bologna · Home25 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.46 | −1.13 |
| M6 | Lazio · Away29 Sep 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −1.66 |
| M7 | Milan · Home5 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −2.94 |
| M8 | Parma · Away20 Oct 2019 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.33 | −4.27 |
| M9 | Brescia · Home26 Oct 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −2.98 |
| M10 | Juventus · Away30 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.37 | −3.35 |
| M11 | Udinese · Home3 Nov 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.79 | −5.14 |
| M12 | Napoli · Away9 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.57 | −4.57 |
| M13 | Spal · Away25 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.26 | −4.83 |
| M14 | Torino · Home30 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.44 | −6.28 |
| M15 | Lecce · Away8 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.43 | −6.71 |
| M16 | Sampdoria · Home14 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.38 | −8.09 |
| M17 | Inter · Away21 Dec 2019 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.62 | −8.71 |
| M18 | Sassuolo · Home5 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | −7.28 |
| M19 | Verona · Away12 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.04 | −8.32 |
| M20 | Roma · Home19 Jan 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.91 | −9.23 |
| M21 | Fiorentina · Away25 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.15 | −9.08 |
| M22 | Atalanta · Away2 Feb 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.60 | −8.48 |
| M23 | Cagliari · Home9 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −6.98 |
| M24 | Bologna · Away15 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.16 | −4.82 |
| M25 | Lazio · Home23 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.87 | −5.69 |
| M26 | Milan · Away8 Mar 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.30 | −3.39 |
| M27 | Parma · Home23 Jun 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.58 | −4.98 |
| M28 | Brescia · Away27 Jun 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −5.61 |
| M29 | Juventus · Home30 Jun 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.50 | −6.11 |
| M30 | Udinese · Away5 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | 0.00 | −6.11 |
| M31 | Napoli · Home8 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | −6.91 |
| M32 | Spal · Home12 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.13 | −5.78 |
| M33 | Torino · Away16 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.17 | −6.95 |
| M34 | Lecce · Home19 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.26 | −5.68 |
| M35 | Sampdoria · Away22 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.68 | −4.00 |
| M36 | Inter · Home25 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.61 | −4.62 |
| M37 | Sassuolo · Away29 Jul 2020 | L 0-5 | 0 | −1.15 | −5.77 |
| M38 | Verona · Home2 Aug 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −4.70 |
| Total | 39 | −4.70 | |||