Points
82Points expected by the market
74.58Gap
+7.42Yield
+6.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 17 | 38 | −1.47 | −13.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 16 | 38 | +9.29 | +28.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.66 | +30.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 28 | −2.14 | −18.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 11 | +2.54 | +22.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.35 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 4 | 10 | +0.67 | +1.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 27 | +6.75 | +31.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +2.01 | +74.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.06 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lecce · Home26 Aug 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +0.54 |
| M2 | Cagliari · Away1 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.97 | +1.50 |
| M3 | Udinese · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +2.19 |
| M4 | Milan · Away21 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.37 | +3.55 |
| M5 | Lazio · Home25 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.30 | +4.85 |
| M6 | Sampdoria · Away28 Sep 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.07 | +5.92 |
| M7 | Juventus · Home6 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.35 | +4.57 |
| M8 | Sassuolo · Away20 Oct 2019 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.04 | +5.61 |
| M9 | Parma · Home26 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.39 | +4.22 |
| M10 | Brescia · Away29 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +4.96 |
| M11 | Bologna · Away2 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.30 | +6.27 |
| M12 | Verona · Home9 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.65 | +6.91 |
| M13 | Torino · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +8.19 |
| M14 | Spal · Home1 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.57 | +8.76 |
| M15 | Roma · Home6 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.86 | +7.90 |
| M16 | Fiorentina · Away15 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.64 | +7.26 |
| M17 | Genoa · Home21 Dec 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +8.09 |
| M18 | Napoli · Away6 Jan 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +9.76 |
| M19 | Atalanta · Home11 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.57 | +9.18 |
| M20 | Lecce · Away19 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.40 | +7.78 |
| M21 | Cagliari · Home26 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.35 | +6.43 |
| M22 | Udinese · Away2 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +7.63 |
| M23 | Milan · Home9 Feb 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.32 | +8.95 |
| M24 | Lazio · Away16 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.27 | +7.68 |
| M25 | Juventus · Away8 Mar 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.06 | +6.62 |
| M26 | Sampdoria · Home21 Jun 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.69 | +7.32 |
| M27 | Sassuolo · Home24 Jun 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.16 | +6.15 |
| M28 | Parma · Away28 Jun 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.88 | +7.03 |
| M29 | Brescia · Home1 Jul 2020 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +7.52 |
| M30 | Bologna · Home5 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.25 | +5.28 |
| M31 | Verona · Away9 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.04 | +4.23 |
| M32 | Torino · Home13 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +4.97 |
| M33 | Spal · Away16 Jul 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.51 | +5.48 |
| M34 | Roma · Away19 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.67 | +4.82 |
| M35 | Fiorentina · Home22 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.19 | +3.63 |
| M36 | Genoa · Away25 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +4.44 |
| M37 | Napoli · Home28 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.36 | +5.81 |
| M38 | Atalanta · Away1 Aug 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | +7.42 |
| Total | 82 | +7.42 | |||