Points
83Points expected by the market
79.50Gap
+3.50Yield
+4.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 22 | 59 | +6.94 | +13.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 18 | −2.16 | −14.5% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 6 | −1.28 | +4.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 43 | +6.45 | +18.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.03 | +37.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.51 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 7 | 16 | +0.49 | +1.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 11 | −4.19 | −34.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 6 | +0.24 | +31.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Parma · Away24 Aug 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.68 | +0.68 |
| M2 | Napoli · Home31 Aug 2019 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.30 | +1.98 |
| M3 | Fiorentina · Away14 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.84 | +1.14 |
| M4 | Verona · Home21 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.50 | +1.63 |
| M5 | Brescia · Away24 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +2.47 |
| M6 | Spal · Home28 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.45 | +2.93 |
| M7 | Inter · Away6 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | +4.59 |
| M8 | Bologna · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.68 | +5.27 |
| M9 | Lecce · Away26 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.30 | +3.97 |
| M10 | Genoa · Home30 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.51 | +4.48 |
| M11 | Torino · Away2 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.89 | +5.37 |
| M12 | Milan · Home10 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.74 | +6.12 |
| M13 | Atalanta · Away23 Nov 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +7.68 |
| M14 | Sassuolo · Home1 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.57 | +6.11 |
| M15 | Lazio · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.46 | +4.64 |
| M16 | Udinese · Home15 Dec 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.56 | +5.20 |
| M17 | Sampdoria · Away18 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +6.07 |
| M18 | Cagliari · Home6 Jan 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +6.63 |
| M19 | Roma · Away12 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.41 | +8.05 |
| M20 | Parma · Home19 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.48 | +8.53 |
| M21 | Napoli · Away26 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.60 | +6.93 |
| M22 | Fiorentina · Home2 Feb 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.66 | +7.59 |
| M23 | Verona · Away8 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.02 | +5.58 |
| M24 | Brescia · Home16 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.45 | +6.03 |
| M25 | Spal · Away22 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +6.86 |
| M26 | Inter · Home8 Mar 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +8.21 |
| M27 | Bologna · Away22 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +9.16 |
| M28 | Lecce · Home26 Jun 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.34 | +9.50 |
| M29 | Genoa · Away30 Jun 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +10.20 |
| M30 | Torino · Home4 Jul 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.63 | +10.83 |
| M31 | Milan · Away7 Jul 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.52 | +9.31 |
| M32 | Atalanta · Home11 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.62 | +8.69 |
| M33 | Sassuolo · Away15 Jul 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.95 | +7.74 |
| M34 | Lazio · Home20 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.87 | +8.61 |
| M35 | Udinese · Away23 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.05 | +6.56 |
| M36 | Sampdoria · Home26 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.57 | +7.14 |
| M37 | Cagliari · Away29 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.12 | +5.01 |
| M38 | Roma · Home1 Aug 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.51 | +3.50 |
| Total | 83 | +3.50 | |||