Points
78Points expected by the market
69.74Gap
+8.26Yield
+9.8%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 25 | +1.19 | +1.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 39 | +5.71 | +17.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.05 | +29.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.68 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 25 | +3.44 | +13.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | −0.07 | −1.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +2.73 | +77.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.25 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 26 | +5.79 | +30.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 7 | +0.32 | +0.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.68 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sampdoria · Away25 Aug 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.35 | +1.35 |
| M2 | Roma · Home1 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.66 | +0.69 |
| M3 | Spal · Away15 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.04 | −1.35 |
| M4 | Parma · Home22 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.62 | −0.73 |
| M5 | Inter · Away25 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.02 | −1.75 |
| M6 | Genoa · Home29 Sep 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.71 | −1.04 |
| M7 | Bologna · Away6 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.65 | −1.70 |
| M8 | Atalanta · Home19 Oct 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.56 | −2.26 |
| M9 | Fiorentina · Away27 Oct 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −0.56 |
| M10 | Torino · Home30 Oct 2019 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.91 | +0.35 |
| M11 | Milan · Away3 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.43 | +1.77 |
| M12 | Lecce · Home10 Nov 2019 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.45 | +2.22 |
| M13 | Sassuolo · Away24 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.99 | +3.21 |
| M14 | Udinese · Home1 Dec 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.65 | +3.86 |
| M15 | Juventus · Home7 Dec 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | +5.59 |
| M16 | Cagliari · Away16 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.08 | +6.67 |
| M17 | Brescia · Away5 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +7.77 |
| M18 | Napoli · Home11 Jan 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.32 | +9.09 |
| M19 | Sampdoria · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.72 | +9.81 |
| M20 | Roma · Away26 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | +9.34 |
| M21 | Spal · Home2 Feb 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.55 | +9.88 |
| M22 | Verona · Home5 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.20 | +8.68 |
| M23 | Parma · Away9 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +9.83 |
| M24 | Inter · Home16 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.55 | +11.38 |
| M25 | Genoa · Away23 Feb 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.13 | +12.51 |
| M26 | Bologna · Home29 Feb 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.97 | +13.48 |
| M27 | Atalanta · Away24 Jun 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.20 | +12.28 |
| M28 | Fiorentina · Home27 Jun 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.13 | +13.41 |
| M29 | Torino · Away30 Jun 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +14.52 |
| M30 | Milan · Home4 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.65 | +12.86 |
| M31 | Lecce · Away7 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.25 | +10.61 |
| M32 | Sassuolo · Home11 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.09 | +8.52 |
| M33 | Udinese · Away15 Jul 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.67 | +7.85 |
| M34 | Juventus · Away20 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.66 | +7.18 |
| M35 | Cagliari · Home23 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.66 | +7.85 |
| M36 | Verona · Away26 Jul 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.26 | +9.10 |
| M37 | Brescia · Home29 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.29 | +9.39 |
| M38 | Napoli · Away1 Aug 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +8.26 |
| Total | 78 | +8.26 | |||