← Serie A 2019-20

Milan

Season 2019-20 · 38 matches played

Last 5WWDWW

Points

66

Points expected by the market

62.66

Gap

+3.34

Yield

−3.2%

Market film

Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below

The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.

M1M5M10M15M20M25M30M35

Performance by odds

Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.

Odds bandMatches playedMPPointsPtsExpectedGapYield
Heavy favourite under 1.50 6 14 13.47 +0.53 −8.0%
Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 14 30 27.43 +2.57 +7.9%
Even 2.20 – 3.49 12 19 16.02 +2.98 +4.9%
Underdog 3.50 or more 6 3 5.74 −2.74 −40.3%

With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.

Match by match

MOpponentDateResultRes. Odds to winExpectedPointsPtsGap Running total€1 bet
M1 Udinese · Away25 Aug 2019 25 Aug 2019 L 0-1 2.03 1.70 0 −1.70 −1.70 −€1.00
M2 Brescia · Home31 Aug 2019 31 Aug 2019 W 1-0 1.56 2.08 3 +0.92 −0.78 +€0.56
M3 Verona · Away15 Sep 2019 15 Sep 2019 W 1-0 1.82 1.85 3 +1.15 +0.37 +€0.82
M4 Inter · Home21 Sep 2019 21 Sep 2019 L 0-2 3.69 1.07 0 −1.07 −0.70 −€1.00
M5 Torino · Away26 Sep 2019 26 Sep 2019 L 1-2 2.94 1.28 0 −1.28 −1.98 −€1.00
M6 Fiorentina · Home29 Sep 2019 29 Sep 2019 L 1-3 2.42 1.48 0 −1.48 −3.46 −€1.00
M7 Genoa · Away5 Oct 2019 5 Oct 2019 W 2-1 2.54 1.42 3 +1.58 −1.89 +€1.54
M8 Lecce · Home20 Oct 2019 20 Oct 2019 D 2-2 1.41 2.23 1 −1.23 −3.11 −€1.00
M9 Roma · Away27 Oct 2019 27 Oct 2019 L 1-2 3.64 1.07 0 −1.07 −4.18 −€1.00
M10 Spal · Home31 Oct 2019 31 Oct 2019 W 1-0 1.60 2.03 3 +0.97 −3.22 +€0.60
M11 Lazio · Home3 Nov 2019 3 Nov 2019 L 1-2 3.31 1.15 0 −1.15 −4.36 −€1.00
M12 Juventus · Away10 Nov 2019 10 Nov 2019 L 0-1 8.25 0.55 0 −0.55 −4.91 −€1.00
M13 Napoli · Home23 Nov 2019 23 Nov 2019 D 1-1 2.96 1.25 1 −0.25 −5.16 −€1.00
M14 Parma · Away1 Dec 2019 1 Dec 2019 W 1-0 2.11 1.65 3 +1.35 −3.81 +€1.11
M15 Bologna · Away8 Dec 2019 8 Dec 2019 W 3-2 2.21 1.58 3 +1.42 −2.39 +€1.21
M16 Sassuolo · Home15 Dec 2019 15 Dec 2019 D 0-0 1.50 2.11 1 −1.11 −3.50 −€1.00
M17 Atalanta · Away22 Dec 2019 22 Dec 2019 L 0-5 4.17 0.94 0 −0.94 −4.44 −€1.00
M18 Sampdoria · Home6 Jan 2020 6 Jan 2020 D 0-0 1.63 2.01 1 −1.01 −5.44 −€1.00
M19 Cagliari · Away11 Jan 2020 11 Jan 2020 W 2-0 2.26 1.54 3 +1.46 −3.98 +€1.26
M20 Udinese · Home19 Jan 2020 19 Jan 2020 W 3-2 1.61 2.02 3 +0.98 −3.00 +€0.61
M21 Brescia · Away24 Jan 2020 24 Jan 2020 W 1-0 1.65 1.97 3 +1.03 −1.97 +€0.65
M22 Verona · Home2 Feb 2020 2 Feb 2020 D 1-1 1.76 1.88 1 −0.88 −2.85 −€1.00
M23 Inter · Away9 Feb 2020 9 Feb 2020 L 2-4 3.77 1.04 0 −1.04 −3.89 −€1.00
M24 Torino · Home17 Feb 2020 17 Feb 2020 W 1-0 1.50 2.12 3 +0.88 −3.01 +€0.50
M25 Fiorentina · Away22 Feb 2020 22 Feb 2020 D 1-1 2.75 1.34 1 −0.34 −3.36 −€1.00
M26 Genoa · Home8 Mar 2020 8 Mar 2020 L 1-2 1.57 2.06 0 −2.06 −5.42 −€1.00
M27 Lecce · Away22 Jun 2020 22 Jun 2020 W 4-1 1.49 2.13 3 +0.87 −4.55 +€0.49
M28 Roma · Home28 Jun 2020 28 Jun 2020 W 2-0 2.45 1.45 3 +1.55 −2.99 +€1.45
M29 Spal · Away1 Jul 2020 1 Jul 2020 D 2-2 1.45 2.19 1 −1.19 −4.18 −€1.00
M30 Lazio · Away4 Jul 2020 4 Jul 2020 W 3-0 3.58 1.07 3 +1.93 −2.25 +€2.58
M31 Juventus · Home7 Jul 2020 7 Jul 2020 W 4-2 3.13 1.20 3 +1.80 −0.45 +€2.13
M32 Napoli · Away12 Jul 2020 12 Jul 2020 D 2-2 3.22 1.16 1 −0.16 −0.60 −€1.00
M33 Parma · Home15 Jul 2020 15 Jul 2020 W 3-1 1.42 2.21 3 +0.79 +0.18 +€0.42
M34 Bologna · Home18 Jul 2020 18 Jul 2020 W 5-1 1.51 2.09 3 +0.91 +1.09 +€0.51
M35 Sassuolo · Away21 Jul 2020 21 Jul 2020 W 2-1 1.75 1.87 3 +1.13 +2.22 +€0.75
M36 Atalanta · Home24 Jul 2020 24 Jul 2020 D 1-1 3.10 1.17 1 −0.17 +2.05 −€1.00
M37 Sampdoria · Away29 Jul 2020 29 Jul 2020 W 4-1 1.36 2.29 3 +0.71 +2.77 +€0.36
M38 Cagliari · Home1 Aug 2020 1 Aug 2020 W 3-0 1.25 2.43 3 +0.57 +3.34 +€0.25
Total 62.66 66 +3.34 −€1.20