Points
62Points expected by the market
71.64Gap
−9.64Yield
−18.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 17 | −11.30 | −46.3% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 17 | 40 | +8.08 | +24.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 5 | −4.33 | −51.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.08 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 13 | −8.71 | −44.2% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 16 | +2.83 | +23.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 4 | −0.08 | +13.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 3 | 4 | −2.59 | −52.7% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 10 | 24 | +5.25 | +24.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 1 | −4.26 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −2.08 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fiorentina · Away24 Aug 2019 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.19 |
| M2 | Juventus · Away31 Aug 2019 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.01 | +0.17 |
| M3 | Sampdoria · Home14 Sep 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +0.79 |
| M4 | Lecce · Away22 Sep 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.79 | +1.58 |
| M5 | Cagliari · Home25 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.56 | −0.97 |
| M6 | Brescia · Home29 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.48 | −0.49 |
| M7 | Torino · Away6 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.74 | −1.23 |
| M8 | Verona · Home19 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.53 | −0.70 |
| M9 | Spal · Away27 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.13 | −1.84 |
| M10 | Atalanta · Home30 Oct 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | −2.41 |
| M11 | Roma · Away2 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.56 | −3.97 |
| M12 | Genoa · Home9 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.41 | −5.38 |
| M13 | Milan · Away23 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.46 | −5.84 |
| M14 | Bologna · Home1 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.16 | −8.00 |
| M15 | Udinese · Away7 Dec 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.09 | −9.09 |
| M16 | Parma · Home14 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.37 | −11.45 |
| M17 | Sassuolo · Away22 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.02 | −10.43 |
| M18 | Inter · Home6 Jan 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.39 | −11.82 |
| M19 | Lazio · Away11 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.07 | −12.88 |
| M20 | Fiorentina · Home18 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.02 | −14.90 |
| M21 | Juventus · Home26 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.88 | −13.02 |
| M22 | Sampdoria · Away3 Feb 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.29 | −11.73 |
| M23 | Lecce · Home9 Feb 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −2.48 | −14.20 |
| M24 | Cagliari · Away16 Feb 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.23 | −12.98 |
| M25 | Brescia · Away21 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.96 | −12.01 |
| M26 | Torino · Home29 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | −11.09 |
| M27 | Verona · Away23 Jun 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.20 | −9.89 |
| M28 | Spal · Home28 Jun 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.62 | −9.27 |
| M29 | Atalanta · Away2 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.13 | −10.40 |
| M30 | Roma · Home5 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | −9.20 |
| M31 | Genoa · Away8 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.04 | −8.16 |
| M32 | Milan · Home12 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | −8.73 |
| M33 | Bologna · Away15 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.86 | −9.59 |
| M34 | Udinese · Home19 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.91 | −8.67 |
| M35 | Parma · Away22 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.25 | −10.92 |
| M36 | Sassuolo · Home25 Jul 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.00 | −9.92 |
| M37 | Inter · Away28 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.10 | −11.01 |
| M38 | Lazio · Home1 Aug 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.37 | −9.64 |
| Total | 62 | −9.64 | |||