Points
42Points expected by the market
43.30Gap
−1.30Yield
−18.5%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 17 | +4.62 | +40.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 19 | +1.66 | +33.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 18 | 6 | −7.58 | −79.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 13 | +3.95 | +53.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 7 | −2.74 | −21.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 2 | −3.97 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 4 | +0.67 | +9.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 12 | +4.41 | +97.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 4 | −3.61 | −65.6% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Lazio · Home25 Aug 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.07 | −1.07 |
| M2 | Sassuolo · Away1 Sep 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.17 | −2.25 |
| M3 | Napoli · Away14 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.46 | −2.71 |
| M4 | Torino · Home22 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −0.97 |
| M5 | Fiorentina · Away25 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.72 |
| M6 | Inter · Home28 Sep 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −2.54 |
| M7 | Verona · Away5 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.30 | −3.84 |
| M8 | Roma · Home20 Oct 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.09 | −3.92 |
| M9 | Bologna · Away27 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −4.90 |
| M10 | Lecce · Home30 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.93 | −5.83 |
| M11 | Spal · Away4 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −4.03 |
| M12 | Atalanta · Home10 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.20 | −3.83 |
| M13 | Udinese · Home24 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.28 | −2.56 |
| M14 | Cagliari · Away2 Dec 2019 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.02 | −3.58 |
| M15 | Parma · Home8 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.59 | −5.16 |
| M16 | Genoa · Away14 Dec 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.69 | −3.47 |
| M17 | Juventus · Home18 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.65 | −4.12 |
| M18 | Milan · Away6 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.26 | −3.86 |
| M19 | Brescia · Home12 Jan 2020 | W 5-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −2.48 |
| M20 | Lazio · Away18 Jan 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.53 | −3.01 |
| M21 | Sassuolo · Home26 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.48 | −3.49 |
| M22 | Napoli · Home3 Feb 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.01 | −4.50 |
| M23 | Torino · Away8 Feb 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.82 | −2.68 |
| M24 | Fiorentina · Home16 Feb 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.32 | −4.01 |
| M25 | Verona · Home8 Mar 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.60 | −2.41 |
| M26 | Inter · Away21 Jun 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.50 | −2.91 |
| M27 | Roma · Away24 Jun 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.69 | −3.60 |
| M28 | Bologna · Home28 Jun 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.31 | −4.90 |
| M29 | Lecce · Away1 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.42 | −3.49 |
| M30 | Spal · Home5 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.07 | −2.42 |
| M31 | Atalanta · Away8 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.46 | −2.88 |
| M32 | Udinese · Away12 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.93 | −0.95 |
| M33 | Cagliari · Home15 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.15 | +0.20 |
| M34 | Parma · Away19 Jul 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.57 | +1.77 |
| M35 | Genoa · Home22 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.38 | +0.39 |
| M36 | Juventus · Away26 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.41 | −0.02 |
| M37 | Milan · Home29 Jul 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.53 | −0.55 |
| M38 | Brescia · Away1 Aug 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −1.30 |
| Total | 42 | −1.30 | |||