Points
51Points expected by the market
44.93Gap
+6.07Yield
+6.3%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 13 | +0.22 | +3.1% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 25 | +6.16 | +33.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 13 | −0.31 | −14.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 12 | +0.94 | +20.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 11 | +2.57 | +22.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.89 | −37.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.71 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 14 | +3.59 | +41.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 9 | +1.57 | +1.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Torino · Away25 Aug 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.94 |
| M2 | Sampdoria · Home1 Sep 2019 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.45 | +0.51 |
| M3 | Roma · Away15 Sep 2019 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.73 | −0.22 |
| M4 | Spal · Home22 Sep 2019 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.27 | +1.05 |
| M5 | Parma · Away25 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.40 | −0.35 |
| M6 | Atalanta · Home28 Sep 2019 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.93 | −1.28 |
| M7 | Inter · Home20 Oct 2019 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.79 | −2.07 |
| M8 | Verona · Away25 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.80 | −0.26 |
| M9 | Fiorentina · Home30 Oct 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.19 | −1.45 |
| M10 | Lecce · Away3 Nov 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | −1.89 |
| M11 | Bologna · Home8 Nov 2019 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −0.23 |
| M12 | Lazio · Home24 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.77 | −1.00 |
| M13 | Juventus · Away1 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.70 | −0.30 |
| M14 | Cagliari · Home8 Dec 2019 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.42 | −0.72 |
| M15 | Milan · Away15 Dec 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.31 | −0.41 |
| M16 | Brescia · Away18 Dec 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.68 | +1.28 |
| M17 | Napoli · Home22 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.80 | +0.48 |
| M18 | Genoa · Away5 Jan 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.15 | −0.68 |
| M19 | Udinese · Away12 Jan 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.10 | −1.77 |
| M20 | Torino · Home18 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.54 | −0.24 |
| M21 | Sampdoria · Away26 Jan 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −0.47 |
| M22 | Roma · Home1 Feb 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +2.12 | +1.64 |
| M23 | Spal · Away9 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.56 | +3.21 |
| M24 | Parma · Home16 Feb 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.83 | +1.38 |
| M25 | Brescia · Home9 Mar 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.90 | +2.28 |
| M26 | Atalanta · Away21 Jun 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.66 | +1.61 |
| M27 | Inter · Away24 Jun 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.37 | +1.99 |
| M28 | Verona · Home28 Jun 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.46 | +1.52 |
| M29 | Fiorentina · Away1 Jul 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +3.63 |
| M30 | Lecce · Home4 Jul 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.95 | +4.58 |
| M31 | Bologna · Away8 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.77 | +6.35 |
| M32 | Lazio · Away11 Jul 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.29 | +8.64 |
| M33 | Juventus · Home15 Jul 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.18 | +8.82 |
| M34 | Cagliari · Away18 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.71 | +8.11 |
| M35 | Milan · Home21 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.90 | +7.21 |
| M36 | Napoli · Away25 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | +6.43 |
| M37 | Genoa · Home29 Jul 2020 | W 5-0 | 3 | +1.42 | +7.85 |
| M38 | Udinese · Home2 Aug 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.78 | +6.07 |
| Total | 51 | +6.07 | |||