Points
20Points expected by the market
33.88Gap
−13.88Yield
−15.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.66 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 7 | −7.71 | −44.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 26 | 13 | −4.51 | −0.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.66 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 4 | −7.27 | −66.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 10 | 6 | −0.63 | −42.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −0.44 | +15.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 16 | 7 | −3.88 | +25.8% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Atalanta · Home25 Aug 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −0.82 |
| M2 | Bologna · Away30 Aug 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.88 | −1.70 |
| M3 | Lazio · Home15 Sep 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.27 | +0.58 |
| M4 | Sassuolo · Away22 Sep 2019 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −0.42 |
| M5 | Lecce · Home25 Sep 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.66 | −2.08 |
| M6 | Juventus · Away28 Sep 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.32 | −2.40 |
| M7 | Parma · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −0.77 |
| M8 | Cagliari · Away20 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.05 | −1.83 |
| M9 | Napoli · Home27 Oct 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.35 | −1.48 |
| M10 | Milan · Away31 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.72 | −2.20 |
| M11 | Sampdoria · Home4 Nov 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.49 | −3.70 |
| M12 | Udinese · Away10 Nov 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.03 | −3.67 |
| M13 | Genoa · Home25 Nov 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −4.11 |
| M14 | Inter · Away1 Dec 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.41 | −4.52 |
| M15 | Brescia · Home8 Dec 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.53 | −6.05 |
| M16 | Roma · Away15 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −6.53 |
| M17 | Torino · Away21 Dec 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.25 | −4.28 |
| M18 | Verona · Home5 Jan 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.44 | −5.72 |
| M19 | Fiorentina · Away12 Jan 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.70 | −6.43 |
| M20 | Atalanta · Away20 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.67 | −3.75 |
| M21 | Bologna · Home25 Jan 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.27 | −5.02 |
| M22 | Lazio · Away2 Feb 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.39 | −5.41 |
| M23 | Sassuolo · Home9 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.28 | −6.70 |
| M24 | Lecce · Away15 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.21 | −7.91 |
| M25 | Juventus · Home22 Feb 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −8.53 |
| M26 | Parma · Away8 Mar 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.89 | −6.64 |
| M27 | Cagliari · Home23 Jun 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.42 | −8.06 |
| M28 | Napoli · Away28 Jun 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.45 | −8.51 |
| M29 | Milan · Home1 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.40 | −8.10 |
| M30 | Sampdoria · Away5 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.82 | −8.92 |
| M31 | Udinese · Home9 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.04 | −9.96 |
| M32 | Genoa · Away12 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −10.84 |
| M33 | Inter · Home16 Jul 2020 | L 0-4 | 0 | −0.37 | −11.21 |
| M34 | Brescia · Away19 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.12 | −12.33 |
| M35 | Roma · Home22 Jul 2020 | L 1-6 | 0 | −0.44 | −12.77 |
| M36 | Torino · Home26 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −12.54 |
| M37 | Verona · Away29 Jul 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.74 | −13.28 |
| M38 | Fiorentina · Home2 Aug 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.60 | −13.88 |
| Total | 20 | −13.88 | |||