Points
49Points expected by the market
42.91Gap
+6.09Yield
−13.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 7 | 18 | +5.44 | +63.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 17 | +2.50 | +7.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 20 | 14 | −1.84 | −50.9% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 18 | +7.26 | +91.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 8 | +1.14 | +20.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 6 | −0.76 | −25.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.81 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 9 | +1.36 | −3.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 12 | 8 | −1.09 | −68.2% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bologna · Home25 Aug 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.03 | −0.03 |
| M2 | Lecce · Away1 Sep 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.97 | +1.95 |
| M3 | Milan · Home15 Sep 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.87 | +1.07 |
| M4 | Juventus · Away21 Sep 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.35 | +0.73 |
| M5 | Udinese · Home24 Sep 2019 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.45 | +0.27 |
| M6 | Cagliari · Away29 Sep 2019 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +0.17 |
| M7 | Sampdoria · Home5 Oct 2019 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.59 | +1.76 |
| M8 | Napoli · Away19 Oct 2019 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.38 | +1.37 |
| M9 | Sassuolo · Home25 Oct 2019 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.51 | −0.13 |
| M10 | Parma · Away29 Oct 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.67 | +1.54 |
| M11 | Brescia · Home3 Nov 2019 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.37 | +2.92 |
| M12 | Inter · Away9 Nov 2019 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.47 | +2.45 |
| M13 | Fiorentina · Home24 Nov 2019 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +4.33 |
| M14 | Roma · Home1 Dec 2019 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.87 | +3.46 |
| M15 | Atalanta · Away7 Dec 2019 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.50 | +2.96 |
| M16 | Torino · Home15 Dec 2019 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.38 | +2.59 |
| M17 | Spal · Away5 Jan 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.74 | +4.33 |
| M18 | Genoa · Home12 Jan 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | +5.66 |
| M19 | Bologna · Away19 Jan 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +5.58 |
| M20 | Lecce · Home26 Jan 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.95 | +6.54 |
| M21 | Milan · Away2 Feb 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.14 | +6.68 |
| M22 | Lazio · Away5 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.41 | +7.09 |
| M23 | Juventus · Home8 Feb 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.27 | +9.36 |
| M24 | Udinese · Away16 Feb 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.24 | +9.12 |
| M25 | Sampdoria · Away8 Mar 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.30 | +7.82 |
| M26 | Cagliari · Home20 Jun 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.25 | +9.07 |
| M27 | Napoli · Home23 Jun 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.92 | +8.15 |
| M28 | Sassuolo · Away28 Jun 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.24 | +7.90 |
| M29 | Parma · Home1 Jul 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.39 | +9.29 |
| M30 | Brescia · Away5 Jul 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.81 | +7.48 |
| M31 | Inter · Home9 Jul 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.27 | +7.74 |
| M32 | Fiorentina · Away12 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.08 | +7.66 |
| M33 | Roma · Away15 Jul 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.81 | +6.85 |
| M34 | Atalanta · Home18 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.40 | +7.25 |
| M35 | Torino · Away22 Jul 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.28 | +6.97 |
| M36 | Lazio · Home26 Jul 2020 | L 1-5 | 0 | −1.00 | +5.97 |
| M37 | Spal · Home29 Jul 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.96 | +6.93 |
| M38 | Genoa · Away2 Aug 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.84 | +6.09 |
| Total | 49 | +6.09 | |||