Points
78Points expected by the market
75.48Gap
+2.52Yield
−4.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 16 | 37 | −0.96 | −12.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 30 | +2.82 | +6.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 10 | +1.65 | +20.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.99 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 23 | −1.01 | −12.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 9 | −0.82 | −3.4% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 7 | +1.25 | +15.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 6 | 14 | +0.04 | −13.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 21 | +3.64 | +12.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 3 | +0.40 | +29.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 1 | −0.99 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Torino · Away26 Sep 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.02 | +1.02 |
| M2 | Lazio · Away30 Sep 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.63 | +2.65 |
| M3 | Cagliari · Home4 Oct 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.60 | +3.25 |
| M4 | Napoli · Away17 Oct 2020 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.23 | +2.02 |
| M5 | Sampdoria · Home24 Oct 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −2.05 | −0.03 |
| M6 | Crotone · Away31 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.94 | +0.91 |
| M7 | Inter · Home8 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | +0.64 |
| M8 | Spezia · Away21 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.30 | −0.66 |
| M9 | Verona · Home28 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.19 | −2.85 |
| M10 | Fiorentina · Home13 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.97 | −1.89 |
| M11 | Juventus · Away16 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.05 | −1.84 |
| M12 | Roma · Home20 Dec 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.51 | −0.33 |
| M13 | Bologna · Away23 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.07 | −1.40 |
| M14 | Sassuolo · Home3 Jan 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.92 | −0.48 |
| M15 | Parma · Home6 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.53 | +0.06 |
| M16 | Benevento · Away9 Jan 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +0.80 |
| M17 | Genoa · Home17 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.52 | −0.72 |
| M18 | Udinese · Away20 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.69 | −1.41 |
| M19 | Milan · Away23 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −0.01 |
| M20 | Lazio · Home31 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.74 | −1.75 |
| M21 | Torino · Home6 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −1.17 | −2.92 |
| M22 | Cagliari · Away14 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.85 | −2.07 |
| M23 | Napoli · Home21 Feb 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.08 | −0.99 |
| M24 | Sampdoria · Away28 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.93 | −0.06 |
| M25 | Crotone · Home3 Mar 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.38 | +0.32 |
| M26 | Inter · Away8 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.04 | −0.72 |
| M27 | Spezia · Home12 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.61 | −0.11 |
| M28 | Verona · Away21 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +0.98 |
| M29 | Udinese · Home3 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.80 | +1.78 |
| M30 | Fiorentina · Away11 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +0.89 | +2.68 |
| M31 | Juventus · Home18 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.48 | +4.15 |
| M32 | Roma · Away22 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | +3.28 |
| M33 | Bologna · Home25 Apr 2021 | W 5-0 | 3 | +0.54 | +3.82 |
| M34 | Sassuolo · Away2 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.14 | +2.67 |
| M35 | Parma · Away9 May 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.46 | +3.13 |
| M36 | Benevento · Home12 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.41 | +3.55 |
| M37 | Genoa · Away15 May 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.44 | +3.99 |
| M38 | Milan · Home23 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.47 | +2.52 |
| Total | 78 | +2.52 | |||