Points
37Points expected by the market
39.38Gap
−2.38Yield
−35.0%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 2 | 3 | −0.38 | +9.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 19 | 30 | +4.97 | +18.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 17 | 4 | −6.98 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 0 | −1.79 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 12 | 19 | +2.66 | +11.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 6 | 0 | −3.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 3 | +1.41 | +118.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 11 | +2.31 | +30.6% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 11 | 4 | −3.05 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sassuolo · Away20 Sep 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.18 | +0.18 |
| M2 | Lazio · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.72 | −0.54 |
| M3 | Atalanta · Away4 Oct 2020 | L 2-5 | 0 | −0.45 | −0.99 |
| M4 | Torino · Away18 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.85 | +0.86 |
| M5 | Crotone · Home25 Oct 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.44 | +2.30 |
| M6 | Bologna · Away31 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.99 | +1.31 |
| M7 | Sampdoria · Home7 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | +3.03 |
| M8 | Juventus · Away21 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.40 | +2.63 |
| M9 | Spezia · Home29 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.57 | +2.06 |
| M10 | Verona · Away6 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.11 | +2.18 |
| M11 | Inter · Home13 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.52 | +1.66 |
| M12 | Parma · Away16 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.26 | +1.40 |
| M13 | Udinese · Home20 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.11 | +1.29 |
| M14 | Roma · Away23 Dec 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.61 | +0.68 |
| M15 | Napoli · Home3 Jan 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.64 | +0.04 |
| M16 | Benevento · Home6 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −1.29 |
| M17 | Fiorentina · Away10 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.86 | −2.15 |
| M18 | Milan · Home18 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −2.93 |
| M19 | Genoa · Away24 Jan 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.23 | −4.16 |
| M20 | Sassuolo · Home31 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.31 | −4.47 |
| M21 | Lazio · Away7 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.61 | −5.09 |
| M22 | Atalanta · Home14 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.64 | −5.73 |
| M23 | Torino · Home19 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.31 | −7.04 |
| M24 | Crotone · Away28 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.41 | −5.62 |
| M25 | Bologna · Home3 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −4.00 |
| M26 | Sampdoria · Away7 Mar 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.11 | −4.12 |
| M27 | Juventus · Home14 Mar 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.63 | −4.75 |
| M28 | Spezia · Away20 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −6.11 |
| M29 | Verona · Home3 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.33 | −7.44 |
| M30 | Inter · Away11 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.42 | −7.87 |
| M31 | Parma · Home17 Apr 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +1.48 | −6.38 |
| M32 | Udinese · Away21 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.85 | −4.54 |
| M33 | Roma · Home25 Apr 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.88 | −2.66 |
| M34 | Napoli · Away2 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.49 | −2.17 |
| M35 | Benevento · Away9 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.58 | −0.59 |
| M36 | Fiorentina · Home12 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.53 | −1.12 |
| M37 | Milan · Away16 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.52 | −0.59 |
| M38 | Genoa · Home22 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.79 | −2.38 |
| Total | 37 | −2.38 | |||