Points
40Points expected by the market
50.31Gap
−10.31Yield
−29.7%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 2 | 1 | −3.30 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 11 | 22 | +2.21 | +3.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 10 | −5.27 | −74.1% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 14 | 7 | −3.95 | −10.6% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 0 | −2.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 17 | +2.26 | +15.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.44 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 4 | −1.69 | −42.7% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 few matches | 1 | 1 | −1.15 | −100.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 3 | 5 | −0.05 | −28.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 8 | 7 | −3.83 | −64.4% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 3 | −2.26 | +21.4% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Torino · Home19 Sep 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | +1.19 |
| M2 | Inter · Away26 Sep 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.69 | +0.50 |
| M3 | Sampdoria · Home2 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.89 | −1.38 |
| M4 | Spezia · Away18 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.15 | −2.53 |
| M5 | Udinese · Home25 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.27 | −1.26 |
| M6 | Roma · Away1 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −2.14 |
| M7 | Parma · Away7 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.66 | −2.80 |
| M8 | Benevento · Home22 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.15 | −4.95 |
| M9 | Milan · Away29 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.81 | −5.75 |
| M10 | Genoa · Home7 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | −6.73 |
| M11 | Atalanta · Away13 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.73 | −7.46 |
| M12 | Sassuolo · Home16 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.47 | −7.93 |
| M13 | Verona · Home19 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −8.41 |
| M14 | Juventus · Away22 Dec 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.48 | −5.93 |
| M15 | Bologna · Home3 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.50 | −6.42 |
| M16 | Lazio · Away6 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.89 | −7.31 |
| M17 | Cagliari · Home10 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.12 | −6.19 |
| M18 | Napoli · Away17 Jan 2021 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.74 | −6.93 |
| M19 | Crotone · Home23 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.01 | −5.92 |
| M20 | Torino · Away29 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.37 | −6.29 |
| M21 | Inter · Home5 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.62 | −6.91 |
| M22 | Sampdoria · Away14 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.40 | −8.31 |
| M23 | Spezia · Home19 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.28 | −7.03 |
| M24 | Udinese · Away28 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.32 | −8.35 |
| M25 | Roma · Home3 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.99 | −9.34 |
| M26 | Parma · Home7 Mar 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.75 | −10.09 |
| M27 | Benevento · Away13 Mar 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.38 | −8.71 |
| M28 | Milan · Home21 Mar 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.02 | −9.73 |
| M29 | Genoa · Away3 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.55 | −10.28 |
| M30 | Atalanta · Home11 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.69 | −10.97 |
| M31 | Sassuolo · Away17 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.31 | −12.28 |
| M32 | Verona · Away20 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.70 | −10.58 |
| M33 | Juventus · Home25 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | −10.34 |
| M34 | Bologna · Away2 May 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.43 | −10.77 |
| M35 | Lazio · Home8 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +2.03 | −8.74 |
| M36 | Cagliari · Away12 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −8.90 |
| M37 | Napoli · Home16 May 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.64 | −9.54 |
| M38 | Crotone · Away22 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.77 | −10.31 |
| Total | 40 | −10.31 | |||