Points
42Points expected by the market
36.32Gap
+5.68Yield
−17.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.69 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 13 | 25 | +7.76 | +48.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 24 | 16 | −1.38 | −49.3% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 1 | 1 | −0.69 | −100.0% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +2.69 | +12.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 9 | 6 | −0.58 | −49.1% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 4 | 10 | +5.07 | +129.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 10 | −0.80 | −49.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Crotone · Home20 Sep 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.54 | +1.54 |
| M2 | Napoli · Away27 Sep 2020 | L 0-6 | 0 | −0.37 | +1.17 |
| M3 | Verona · Away19 Oct 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.19 | +0.97 |
| M4 | Inter · Home24 Oct 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.52 | +0.45 |
| M5 | Sampdoria · Away1 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.06 | +0.51 |
| M6 | Torino · Home4 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.36 | −0.85 |
| M7 | Roma · Home8 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.75 | −1.60 |
| M8 | Udinese · Away22 Nov 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.92 | −2.52 |
| M9 | Parma · Home30 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.47 | −4.00 |
| M10 | Fiorentina · Away7 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.22 | −3.77 |
| M11 | Juventus · Home13 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.45 | −4.22 |
| M12 | Milan · Home16 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.30 | −3.92 |
| M13 | Benevento · Away20 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −4.94 |
| M14 | Spezia · Away23 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.91 | −3.03 |
| M15 | Lazio · Home3 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.23 | −2.80 |
| M16 | Sassuolo · Away6 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.88 | −3.68 |
| M17 | Bologna · Home9 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.73 | −1.95 |
| M18 | Atalanta · Away17 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.66 | −1.29 |
| M19 | Cagliari · Home24 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.51 | +0.22 |
| M20 | Crotone · Away31 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.64 | +1.86 |
| M21 | Napoli · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +2.11 | +3.97 |
| M22 | Torino · Away13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | 0.00 | +3.98 |
| M23 | Verona · Home20 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.34 | +3.64 |
| M24 | Inter · Away28 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.33 | +3.31 |
| M25 | Sampdoria · Home3 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.25 | +3.06 |
| M26 | Roma · Away7 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.59 | +2.46 |
| M27 | Udinese · Home13 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.17 | +2.30 |
| M28 | Parma · Away19 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.75 | +4.05 |
| M29 | Fiorentina · Home3 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.13 | +3.92 |
| M30 | Juventus · Away11 Apr 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.38 | +3.54 |
| M31 | Milan · Away18 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.57 | +2.96 |
| M32 | Benevento · Home21 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.69 | +2.27 |
| M33 | Spezia · Home24 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.77 |
| M34 | Lazio · Away2 May 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.64 | +3.13 |
| M35 | Sassuolo · Home9 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.05 | +2.08 |
| M36 | Bologna · Away12 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.88 | +3.96 |
| M37 | Atalanta · Home15 May 2021 | L 3-4 | 0 | −0.32 | +3.65 |
| M38 | Cagliari · Away22 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +2.04 | +5.68 |
| Total | 42 | +5.68 | |||