Points
91Points expected by the market
78.78Gap
+12.22Yield
+9.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 22 | 59 | +7.46 | +14.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 22 | +4.88 | +32.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | −0.12 | −34.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 12 | 34 | +5.52 | +19.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 12 | +2.63 | +36.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 2 | 6 | +2.92 | +128.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 25 | +1.94 | +7.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 10 | +2.24 | +27.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 5 | 4 | −3.04 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fiorentina · Home26 Sep 2020 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.91 | +0.91 |
| M2 | Benevento · Away30 Sep 2020 | W 5-2 | 3 | +0.66 | +1.57 |
| M3 | Lazio · Away4 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | +1.06 |
| M4 | Milan · Home17 Oct 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.63 | −0.57 |
| M5 | Genoa · Away24 Oct 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.70 | +0.13 |
| M6 | Parma · Home31 Oct 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.35 | −1.22 |
| M7 | Atalanta · Away8 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.48 | −1.70 |
| M8 | Torino · Home22 Nov 2020 | W 4-2 | 3 | +0.61 | −1.08 |
| M9 | Sassuolo · Away28 Nov 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.10 | +0.02 |
| M10 | Bologna · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.83 | +0.85 |
| M11 | Cagliari · Away13 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +1.55 |
| M12 | Napoli · Home16 Dec 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.41 | +2.96 |
| M13 | Spezia · Home20 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.48 | +3.45 |
| M14 | Verona · Away23 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.92 | +4.37 |
| M15 | Crotone · Home3 Jan 2021 | W 6-2 | 3 | +0.45 | +4.82 |
| M16 | Sampdoria · Away6 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.15 | +2.67 |
| M17 | Roma · Away10 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.44 | +2.23 |
| M18 | Juventus · Home17 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.50 | +3.73 |
| M19 | Udinese · Away23 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.97 | +2.76 |
| M20 | Benevento · Home30 Jan 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.47 | +3.23 |
| M21 | Fiorentina · Away5 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +4.06 |
| M22 | Lazio · Home14 Feb 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.03 | +5.09 |
| M23 | Milan · Away21 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.20 | +6.29 |
| M24 | Genoa · Home28 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.47 | +6.76 |
| M25 | Parma · Away4 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.57 | +7.33 |
| M26 | Atalanta · Home8 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +8.64 |
| M27 | Torino · Away14 Mar 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +9.28 |
| M28 | Bologna · Away3 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.82 | +10.10 |
| M29 | Sassuolo · Home7 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.64 | +10.74 |
| M30 | Cagliari · Home11 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.59 | +11.33 |
| M31 | Napoli · Away18 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | +10.84 |
| M32 | Spezia · Away21 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.37 | +9.47 |
| M33 | Verona · Home25 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +0.62 | +10.09 |
| M34 | Crotone · Away1 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +10.61 |
| M35 | Sampdoria · Home8 May 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +11.47 |
| M36 | Roma · Home12 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.02 | +12.49 |
| M37 | Juventus · Away15 May 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.11 | +11.37 |
| M38 | Udinese · Home23 May 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +12.22 |
| Total | 91 | +12.22 | |||