Points
78Points expected by the market
78.85Gap
−0.85Yield
−9.9%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 21 | 53 | +4.05 | +8.5% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 14 | 22 | −3.88 | −33.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.01 | −26.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 13 | 31 | +0.20 | +0.9% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +2.25 | +26.8% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 8 | 22 | +3.85 | +20.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 8 | 9 | −6.13 | −79.3% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 3 | −1.01 | −26.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Sampdoria · Home20 Sep 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.79 | +0.79 |
| M2 | Roma · Away27 Sep 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.60 | +0.19 |
| M3 | Crotone · Away17 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.07 | −0.87 |
| M4 | Verona · Home25 Oct 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.26 | −2.13 |
| M5 | Spezia · Away1 Nov 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.78 | −1.35 |
| M6 | Lazio · Away8 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.74 | −2.09 |
| M7 | Cagliari · Home21 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.55 | −1.54 |
| M8 | Benevento · Away28 Nov 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.25 | −2.79 |
| M9 | Torino · Home5 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.66 | −2.13 |
| M10 | Genoa · Away13 Dec 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.62 | −1.50 |
| M11 | Atalanta · Home16 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.80 | −2.30 |
| M12 | Parma · Away19 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.71 | −1.59 |
| M13 | Fiorentina · Home22 Dec 2020 | L 0-3 | 0 | −2.30 | −3.89 |
| M14 | Udinese · Home3 Jan 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.82 | −3.07 |
| M15 | Milan · Away6 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.41 | −1.66 |
| M16 | Sassuolo · Home10 Jan 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.73 | −0.93 |
| M17 | Inter · Away17 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.22 | −2.15 |
| M18 | Bologna · Home24 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.74 | −1.41 |
| M19 | Sampdoria · Away30 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.81 | −0.60 |
| M20 | Roma · Home6 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +0.43 |
| M21 | Napoli · Away13 Feb 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.60 | −1.17 |
| M22 | Crotone · Home22 Feb 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.41 | −0.76 |
| M23 | Verona · Away27 Feb 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.05 | −1.81 |
| M24 | Spezia · Home2 Mar 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.55 | −1.26 |
| M25 | Lazio · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.22 | −0.04 |
| M26 | Cagliari · Away14 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.84 | +0.80 |
| M27 | Benevento · Home21 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −2.59 | −1.79 |
| M28 | Torino · Away3 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.13 | −2.92 |
| M29 | Napoli · Home7 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.29 | −1.63 |
| M30 | Genoa · Home11 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.53 | −1.10 |
| M31 | Atalanta · Away18 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.21 | −2.30 |
| M32 | Parma · Home21 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.56 | −1.74 |
| M33 | Fiorentina · Away25 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.99 | −2.73 |
| M34 | Udinese · Away2 May 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.78 | −1.95 |
| M35 | Milan · Home9 May 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.87 | −3.82 |
| M36 | Sassuolo · Away12 May 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.05 | −2.77 |
| M37 | Inter · Home15 May 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.37 | −1.40 |
| M38 | Bologna · Away23 May 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.55 | −0.85 |
| Total | 78 | −0.85 | |||