Points
79Points expected by the market
66.87Gap
+12.13Yield
+31.1%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 19 | −1.58 | −23.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 18 | 42 | +8.48 | +29.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 15 | +4.07 | +68.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 3 | +1.17 | +121.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 9 | 19 | −1.58 | −23.8% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 11 | +0.25 | −9.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 0 | −3.55 | −100.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 0 | −0.94 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 12 | 31 | +8.23 | +48.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 15 | +7.62 | +153.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 1 | 3 | +2.11 | +343.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Bologna · Home21 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.86 | +0.86 |
| M2 | Crotone · Away27 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +1.84 |
| M3 | Spezia · Home4 Oct 2020 | W 3-0 | 3 | +0.73 | +2.57 |
| M4 | Inter · Away17 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +4.47 |
| M5 | Roma · Home26 Oct 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.56 | +3.91 |
| M6 | Udinese · Away1 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | +5.15 |
| M7 | Verona · Home8 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.33 | +3.82 |
| M8 | Napoli · Away22 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.90 | +5.72 |
| M9 | Fiorentina · Home29 Nov 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.05 | +6.77 |
| M10 | Sampdoria · Away6 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.14 | +7.91 |
| M11 | Parma · Home13 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.34 | +6.57 |
| M12 | Genoa · Away16 Dec 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −1.08 | +5.49 |
| M13 | Sassuolo · Away20 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.20 | +6.69 |
| M14 | Lazio · Home23 Dec 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.37 | +8.06 |
| M15 | Benevento · Away3 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.08 | +9.15 |
| M16 | Juventus · Home6 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.13 | +8.02 |
| M17 | Torino · Home9 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.03 | +9.05 |
| M18 | Cagliari · Away18 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.02 | +10.07 |
| M19 | Atalanta · Home23 Jan 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.14 | +8.93 |
| M20 | Bologna · Away30 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.27 | +10.20 |
| M21 | Crotone · Home7 Feb 2021 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.49 | +10.69 |
| M22 | Spezia · Away13 Feb 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.11 | +8.58 |
| M23 | Inter · Home21 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.94 | +7.64 |
| M24 | Roma · Away28 Feb 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.78 | +9.42 |
| M25 | Udinese · Home3 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.88 | +8.54 |
| M26 | Verona · Away7 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.56 | +10.10 |
| M27 | Napoli · Home14 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.29 | +8.81 |
| M28 | Fiorentina · Away21 Mar 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.29 | +10.11 |
| M29 | Sampdoria · Home3 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.13 | +8.97 |
| M30 | Parma · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.10 | +10.07 |
| M31 | Genoa · Home18 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.78 | +10.85 |
| M32 | Sassuolo · Home21 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.76 | +9.09 |
| M33 | Lazio · Away26 Apr 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −1.24 | +7.86 |
| M34 | Benevento · Home1 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.72 | +8.58 |
| M35 | Juventus · Away9 May 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +2.11 | +10.68 |
| M36 | Torino · Away12 May 2021 | W 7-0 | 3 | +1.09 | +11.78 |
| M37 | Cagliari · Home16 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −1.36 | +10.42 |
| M38 | Atalanta · Away23 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.71 | +12.13 |
| Total | 79 | +12.13 | |||