Points
77Points expected by the market
71.75Gap
+5.25Yield
+10.2%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it rises, the team is doing better than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 15 | 35 | +0.37 | −0.6% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 15 | 29 | +1.43 | +5.9% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 6 | 13 | +5.31 | +84.5% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.86 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 10 | 20 | −3.50 | −21.4% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 6 | 13 | +1.80 | +19.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 7 | +3.15 | +90.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 0 | — | — | — |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 5 | 15 | +3.87 | +41.0% |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 16 | −0.37 | −3.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 few matches | 3 | 6 | +2.16 | +78.3% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more few matches | 2 | 0 | −1.86 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Parma · Away20 Sep 2020 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.84 | +0.84 |
| M2 | Genoa · Home27 Sep 2020 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.52 | +1.36 |
| M3 | Atalanta · Home17 Oct 2020 | W 4-1 | 3 | +1.50 | +2.85 |
| M4 | Benevento · Away25 Oct 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.58 | +3.43 |
| M5 | Sassuolo · Home1 Nov 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −2.21 | +1.22 |
| M6 | Bologna · Away8 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.07 | +2.29 |
| M7 | Milan · Home22 Nov 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.62 | +0.66 |
| M8 | Roma · Home29 Nov 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +1.31 | +1.98 |
| M9 | Crotone · Away6 Dec 2020 | W 4-0 | 3 | +0.77 | +2.75 |
| M10 | Sampdoria · Home13 Dec 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +0.74 | +3.49 |
| M11 | Inter · Away16 Dec 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.12 | +2.37 |
| M12 | Lazio · Away20 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.62 | +0.75 |
| M13 | Torino · Home23 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.11 | −0.36 |
| M14 | Cagliari · Away3 Jan 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.85 | +0.49 |
| M15 | Spezia · Home6 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −2.38 | −1.89 |
| M16 | Udinese · Away10 Jan 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.24 | −0.65 |
| M17 | Fiorentina · Home17 Jan 2021 | W 6-0 | 3 | +0.98 | +0.34 |
| M18 | Verona · Away24 Jan 2021 | L 1-3 | 0 | −1.77 | −1.43 |
| M19 | Parma · Home31 Jan 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.65 | −0.78 |
| M20 | Genoa · Away6 Feb 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −2.63 |
| M21 | Juventus · Home13 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.88 | −0.75 |
| M22 | Atalanta · Away21 Feb 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.84 | −1.58 |
| M23 | Benevento · Home28 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.72 | −0.87 |
| M24 | Sassuolo · Away3 Mar 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | −0.62 | −1.48 |
| M25 | Bologna · Home7 Mar 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +0.87 | −0.61 |
| M26 | Milan · Away14 Mar 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.58 | +0.96 |
| M27 | Roma · Away21 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.70 | +2.67 |
| M28 | Crotone · Home3 Apr 2021 | W 4-3 | 3 | +0.51 | +3.18 |
| M29 | Juventus · Away7 Apr 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.03 | +2.16 |
| M30 | Sampdoria · Away11 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.01 | +3.16 |
| M31 | Inter · Home18 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.23 | +2.94 |
| M32 | Lazio · Home22 Apr 2021 | W 5-2 | 3 | +1.36 | +4.30 |
| M33 | Torino · Away26 Apr 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.28 | +5.57 |
| M34 | Cagliari · Home2 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.31 | +4.26 |
| M35 | Spezia · Away8 May 2021 | W 4-1 | 3 | +0.89 | +5.15 |
| M36 | Udinese · Home11 May 2021 | W 5-1 | 3 | +0.70 | +5.86 |
| M37 | Fiorentina · Away16 May 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +0.83 | +6.69 |
| M38 | Verona · Home23 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −1.44 | +5.25 |
| Total | 77 | +5.25 | |||