Points
37Points expected by the market
45.71Gap
−8.71Yield
−52.4%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −2.16 | −67.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 20 | 26 | −1.48 | −17.8% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 13 | 4 | −5.07 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −2.16 | −67.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 9 | 10 | −2.37 | −39.9% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 5 | 1 | −2.80 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 11 | 16 | +0.89 | +0.2% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 3 | −2.27 | −100.0% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Fiorentina · Away19 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.94 | −0.94 |
| M2 | Atalanta · Home26 Sep 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.80 | −1.74 |
| M3 | Cagliari · Home18 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.57 | −3.31 |
| M4 | Sassuolo · Away23 Oct 2020 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.16 | −3.14 |
| M5 | Lazio · Home1 Nov 2020 | L 3-4 | 0 | −1.23 | −4.38 |
| M6 | Genoa · Away4 Nov 2020 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.66 | −2.72 |
| M7 | Crotone · Home8 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.79 | −3.52 |
| M8 | Inter · Away22 Nov 2020 | L 2-4 | 0 | −0.46 | −3.97 |
| M9 | Sampdoria · Home30 Nov 2020 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −4.34 |
| M10 | Juventus · Away5 Dec 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.48 | −4.82 |
| M11 | Udinese · Home12 Dec 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.34 | −6.16 |
| M12 | Roma · Away17 Dec 2020 | L 1-3 | 0 | −0.48 | −6.64 |
| M13 | Bologna · Home20 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.40 | −7.04 |
| M14 | Napoli · Away23 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.32 | −6.72 |
| M15 | Parma · Away3 Jan 2021 | W 3-0 | 3 | +1.50 | −5.21 |
| M16 | Verona · Home6 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.44 | −5.66 |
| M17 | Milan · Away9 Jan 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −0.78 | −6.43 |
| M18 | Spezia · Home16 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.69 | −7.12 |
| M19 | Benevento · Away22 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.49 | −7.61 |
| M20 | Fiorentina · Home29 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.33 | −7.94 |
| M21 | Atalanta · Away6 Feb 2021 | D 3-3 | 1 | +0.38 | −7.56 |
| M22 | Genoa · Home13 Feb 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.71 | −8.28 |
| M23 | Cagliari · Away19 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.60 | −6.67 |
| M24 | Crotone · Away7 Mar 2021 | L 2-4 | 0 | −1.57 | −8.25 |
| M25 | Inter · Home14 Mar 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.47 | −8.71 |
| M26 | Sassuolo · Home17 Mar 2021 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.58 | −7.13 |
| M27 | Sampdoria · Away21 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.30 | −8.42 |
| M28 | Juventus · Home3 Apr 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | +0.34 | −8.08 |
| M29 | Udinese · Away10 Apr 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.83 | −6.25 |
| M30 | Roma · Home18 Apr 2021 | W 3-1 | 3 | +1.73 | −4.52 |
| M31 | Bologna · Away21 Apr 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.27 | −4.79 |
| M32 | Napoli · Home26 Apr 2021 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.02 | −5.81 |
| M33 | Parma · Home3 May 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.02 | −4.80 |
| M34 | Verona · Away9 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.45 | −5.25 |
| M35 | Milan · Home12 May 2021 | L 0-7 | 0 | −0.85 | −6.10 |
| M36 | Spezia · Away15 May 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −1.46 | −7.56 |
| M37 | Lazio · Away18 May 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.17 | −7.73 |
| M38 | Benevento · Home23 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.98 | −8.71 |
| Total | 37 | −8.71 | |||