Points
40Points expected by the market
48.15Gap
−8.15Yield
−32.6%Market film
Cumulative gapMatch aboveMatch below
The bars are what the team gained or lost against expectations in each match; the line, the running total. If it falls, the team is doing worse than the market expected.
Performance by odds
Matches grouped by the average closing odds on the team to win: how it does as a heavy favourite, as a favourite, in even matches or as an underdog.
| Odds band | Matches playedMP | PointsPts | Gap | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 9 | 15 | −0.88 | −12.6% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 14 | 19 | −1.06 | −9.0% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 15 | 6 | −6.21 | −66.5% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 | 5 | 7 | −2.25 | −23.2% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 10 | −0.33 | +10.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 7 | 2 | −4.31 | −100.0% |
| Heavy favourite under 1.50 | 0 | — | — | — |
| Favourite 1.50 – 2.19 few matches | 4 | 8 | +1.37 | +0.7% |
| Even 2.20 – 3.49 | 7 | 9 | −0.73 | −28.7% |
| Underdog 3.50 or more | 8 | 4 | −1.90 | −37.3% |
With fewer than 5 matches in a band, the figure is only indicative.
Match by match
| M | Opponent | ResultRes. | PointsPts | Gap | Running total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M1 | Verona · Away27 Sep 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.27 | −1.27 |
| M2 | Spezia · Home30 Sep 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.85 | −3.13 |
| M3 | Roma · Home3 Oct 2020 | L 0-1 | 0 | −0.95 | −4.08 |
| M4 | Parma · Home18 Oct 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.28 | −2.80 |
| M5 | Fiorentina · Away25 Oct 2020 | L 2-3 | 0 | −1.00 | −3.80 |
| M6 | Milan · Home1 Nov 2020 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.97 | −4.77 |
| M7 | Sassuolo · Away6 Nov 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.23 | −5.01 |
| M8 | Genoa · Home22 Nov 2020 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.19 | −3.82 |
| M9 | Lazio · Away29 Nov 2020 | W 3-1 | 3 | +2.17 | −1.65 |
| M10 | Torino · Away12 Dec 2020 | W 3-2 | 3 | +1.65 | 0.00 |
| M11 | Crotone · Home15 Dec 2020 | D 0-0 | 1 | −0.96 | −0.96 |
| M12 | Cagliari · Away20 Dec 2020 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.60 | −1.56 |
| M13 | Benevento · Home23 Dec 2020 | L 0-2 | 0 | −1.90 | −3.46 |
| M14 | Juventus · Away3 Jan 2021 | L 1-4 | 0 | −0.61 | −4.07 |
| M15 | Bologna · Away6 Jan 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.37 | −4.44 |
| M16 | Napoli · Home10 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.96 | −5.41 |
| M17 | Sampdoria · Away16 Jan 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −1.42 | −6.83 |
| M18 | Atalanta · Home20 Jan 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.04 | −6.87 |
| M19 | Inter · Home23 Jan 2021 | D 0-0 | 1 | +0.22 | −6.65 |
| M20 | Spezia · Away31 Jan 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.27 | −5.37 |
| M21 | Verona · Home7 Feb 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.62 | −3.75 |
| M22 | Roma · Away14 Feb 2021 | L 0-3 | 0 | −0.85 | −4.60 |
| M23 | Parma · Away21 Feb 2021 | D 2-2 | 1 | −0.63 | −5.24 |
| M24 | Fiorentina · Home28 Feb 2021 | W 1-0 | 3 | +1.63 | −3.61 |
| M25 | Milan · Away3 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | +0.16 | −3.45 |
| M26 | Sassuolo · Home6 Mar 2021 | W 2-0 | 3 | +1.48 | −1.97 |
| M27 | Genoa · Away13 Mar 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.51 | −2.48 |
| M28 | Lazio · Home21 Mar 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.03 | −3.51 |
| M29 | Atalanta · Away3 Apr 2021 | L 2-3 | 0 | −0.59 | −4.10 |
| M30 | Torino · Home10 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.54 | −5.65 |
| M31 | Crotone · Away17 Apr 2021 | W 2-1 | 3 | +1.33 | −4.31 |
| M32 | Cagliari · Home21 Apr 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.55 | −5.87 |
| M33 | Benevento · Away25 Apr 2021 | W 4-2 | 3 | +1.44 | −4.43 |
| M34 | Juventus · Home2 May 2021 | L 1-2 | 0 | −0.58 | −5.01 |
| M35 | Bologna · Home8 May 2021 | D 1-1 | 1 | −0.49 | −5.50 |
| M36 | Napoli · Away11 May 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.53 | −6.02 |
| M37 | Sampdoria · Home16 May 2021 | L 0-1 | 0 | −1.48 | −7.50 |
| M38 | Inter · Away23 May 2021 | L 1-5 | 0 | −0.65 | −8.15 |
| Total | 40 | −8.15 | |||